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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vasco Santos

Sp Braga

S S S S U

3–1

Full-time

Feirense

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Feirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,3

0,5

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 46%

64%

27%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

55%

36%

Both score Ø 45%

45%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

64% Possession 36%

13 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

4 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 20

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 5. · Feirense 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	12	10	2	0	+26	32
2	Sp Lisbon	12	9	3	0	+18	30
3	Benfica	12	9	2	1	+21	29
4	Maritimo	12	7	2	3	+4	23
5	Sp Braga	11	7	1	3	+8	22
6	Rio Ave	11	5	2	4	+3	17
7	Boavista	12	5	1	6	-1	16
8	Belenenses	12	5	1	6	-3	16
9	Portimonense	12	4	3	5	-1	15
10	Chaves	12	4	2	6	-4	14
11	Guimaraes	11	4	2	5	-7	14
12	Tondela	12	3	3	6	-3	12
13	Pacos Ferreira	12	3	3	6	-9	12
14	Feirense	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Aves	12	2	4	6	-8	10
16	Vitoria Setubal	12	2	4	6	-9	10
17	Moreirense	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	Estoril	12	2	1	9	-18	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	6	0	0	+20	18
2	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+17	18
3	Maritimo	7	5	2	0	+6	17
4	Sp Lisbon	6	4	2	0	+8	14
5	Portimonense	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Belenenses	6	4	1	1	+5	13
7	Sp Braga	5	4	0	1	+8	12
8	Boavista	6	4	0	2	+0	12
9	Pacos Ferreira	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+2	10
11	Guimaraes	6	3	1	2	-4	10
12	Vitoria Setubal	6	2	3	1	+3	9
13	Chaves	5	2	1	2	+2	7
14	Tondela	6	2	1	3	+0	7
15	Feirense	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Aves	7	1	2	4	-7	5
17	Moreirense	5	0	3	2	-4	3
18	Estoril	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Porto	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Benfica	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Sp Braga	6	3	1	2	+0	10
5	Rio Ave	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Chaves	7	2	1	4	-6	7
7	Maritimo	5	2	0	3	-2	6
8	Aves	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Tondela	6	1	2	3	-3	5
10	Boavista	6	1	1	4	-1	4
11	Feirense	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	Guimaraes	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Moreirense	7	1	1	5	-9	4
14	Estoril	7	1	1	5	-12	4
15	Belenenses	6	1	0	5	-8	3
16	Portimonense	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	1	5	-11	1
18	Vitoria Setubal	6	0	1	5	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.