Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Heracles
Nijmegen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Feyenoord
|
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | +24 | 33 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | +21 | 33 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | +16 | 29 |
| 4 |
Heerenveen
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 22 |
| 5 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | +10 | 21 |
| 6 |
Twente
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |
Vitesse
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 17 |
| 10 |
Heracles
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 |
Nijmegen
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -11 | 15 |
| 12 |
Excelsior
|
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 13 |
Willem II
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 |
Den Haag
|
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 |
Groningen
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 16 |
Zwolle
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -16 | 13 |
| 17 |
Roda
|
14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Pröpper
D
J. Hoogma
D
J. Pelupessy
M
R. Gosens
M
Coach: J. Stegeman
M. Dyrestam
D
J. Grot
F
Coach: P. Hyballa
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
Heracles
Go Ahead Eagles
Vitesse
Heracles
Heracles
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
Heracles
Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.