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Ligue 1
Referee: Said Ennjimi
Lorient
U T T S S
2–0
Full-time
Caen
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 10
1 Offside 6
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 10. · Caen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 7 5 2 0 +10 17
2 Rennes 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 St Etienne 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Reims 7 3 3 1 +4 12
5 Angers 7 3 3 1 +3 12
6 Caen 6 4 0 2 +0 12
7 Lyon 6 2 3 1 +4 9
8 Guingamp 7 3 0 4 -4 9
9 Nice 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Lorient 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Monaco 6 2 2 2 -2 8
12 Marseille 6 2 1 3 +5 7
13 Bordeaux 6 1 4 1 +1 7
14 Lille 6 1 4 1 +0 7
15 Bastia 6 2 1 3 -2 7
16 Nantes 6 2 1 3 -4 7
17 Toulouse 6 1 3 2 -2 6
18 Troyes 6 0 3 3 -9 3
19 Montpellier 6 0 1 5 -6 1
20 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 6 0 1 5 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient Caen
Vincent Le Goff 🟨
11′
1–0 B. Moukandjo
M. Barthelmé
13′
2–0 A. Waris
D. Ndong
36′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Delort
↦ R. Rodelin
François Bellugou 🟨
51′
Raphaël Guerreiro 🔁
↦ M. Barthelmé
63′
63′
🔁 J. Leborgne
↦ V. Bessat
R. Abdullah 🔁
↦ Y. Jouffre
64′
71′
🟨 Syam Ben Youssef
74′
🔁 J. Nkololo
↦ J. Féret
75′
🟨 Jordan N'Kololo
R. Philippoteaux 🔁
↦ F. Bellugou
81′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lorient

40 B. Lecomte G
6 F. Bellugou M
25 L. Gassama D
5 Z. Touré D
4 V. Le Goff D
24 W. Lautoa D
8 Y. Jouffre M
28 M. Barthelmé M
7 D. Ndong M
12 B. Moukandjo F
9 A. Waris F
Bench (7)
14 Raphaël Guerreiro
13 R. Abdullah
19 R. Philippoteaux
2 L. Koné
21 Alain Traoré
23 M. Fofana
30 F. Chaigneau

Caen

1 R. Vercoutre G
28 D. Da Silva D
15 E. Imorou D
13 S. Ben Youssef D
12 D. Appiah D
11 V. Bessat D
25 J. Féret M
18 J. Adéoti M
23 R. Rodelin F
20 H. Bazile F
14 J. Louis M
Bench (7)
9 A. Delort
19 J. Leborgne
8 J. Nkololo
2 N. Seube
5 A. Yahia
21 C. Alhadhur
30 P. Reulet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Said Ennjimi · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
5,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.