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Premier League

Referee: Craig Pawson

Man United

T S S U U

0–0

Full-time

Southampton

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Southampton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,2

This season — Premier League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 43%

65%

20%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

65%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man United 3. · Southampton 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	20	19	1	0	+49	58
2	Chelsea	21	14	3	4	+25	45
3	Man United	20	13	4	3	+27	43
4	Liverpool	21	11	8	2	+24	41
5	Tottenham	20	11	4	5	+19	37
6	Arsenal	20	11	4	5	+12	37
7	Burnley	21	9	7	5	+1	34
8	Leicester	21	7	6	8	-1	27
9	Everton	21	7	6	8	-7	27
10	Watford	21	7	4	10	-7	25
11	Huddersfield	21	6	6	9	-14	24
12	Brighton	21	5	7	9	-10	22
13	Bournemouth	21	5	5	11	-12	20
14	Stoke	21	5	5	11	-23	20
15	Southampton	20	4	7	9	-10	19
16	Newcastle	21	5	4	12	-11	19
17	Crystal Palace	20	4	6	10	-14	18
18	West Ham	20	4	6	10	-16	18
19	Swansea	21	4	4	13	-19	16
20	West Brom	20	2	9	9	-13	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	10	9	1	0	+29	28
2	Man United	10	8	1	1	+19	25
3	Arsenal	10	8	1	1	+15	25
4	Chelsea	11	8	1	2	+14	25
5	Liverpool	11	6	5	0	+17	23
6	Tottenham	10	6	3	1	+13	21
7	Everton	10	6	1	3	+4	19
8	Burnley	10	5	2	3	+1	17
9	Huddersfield	11	4	4	3	-2	16
10	Leicester	10	4	2	4	-1	14
11	Brighton	10	3	5	2	-2	14
12	Stoke	10	4	2	4	-6	14
13	Southampton	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Bournemouth	11	3	3	5	-3	12
15	Crystal Palace	10	3	3	4	-4	12
16	Watford	11	3	3	5	-9	12
17	West Ham	9	3	2	4	-4	11
18	Newcastle	11	3	2	6	-4	11
19	West Brom	10	1	6	3	-5	9
20	Swansea	10	2	2	6	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	10	10	0	0	+20	30
2	Chelsea	10	6	2	2	+11	20
3	Man United	10	5	3	2	+8	18
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	+7	18
5	Burnley	11	4	5	2	+0	17
6	Tottenham	10	5	1	4	+6	16
7	Watford	10	4	1	5	+2	13
8	Leicester	11	3	4	4	+0	13
9	Arsenal	10	3	3	4	-3	12
10	Newcastle	10	2	2	6	-7	8
11	Brighton	11	2	2	7	-8	8
12	Bournemouth	10	2	2	6	-9	8
13	Swansea	11	2	2	7	-10	8
14	Everton	11	1	5	5	-11	8
15	Huddersfield	10	2	2	6	-12	8
16	West Ham	11	1	4	6	-12	7
17	Southampton	9	1	3	5	-8	6
18	West Brom	10	1	3	6	-8	6
19	Crystal Palace	10	1	3	6	-10	6
20	Stoke	11	1	3	7	-17	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.