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Eliteserien
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes
Stromsgodset
S T T S T
3–4
Full-time
Sandefjord
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
67%
58%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Stromsgodset 9. · Sandefjord 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 13 11 2 0 +28 35
2 Molde 13 10 1 2 +26 31
3 Valerenga 13 6 5 2 +1 23
4 Odd 12 7 1 4 +6 22
5 Kristiansund 12 4 6 2 +7 18
6 Rosenborg 12 5 3 4 +7 18
7 Stabaek 12 4 5 3 -1 17
8 Brann 12 4 3 5 -3 15
9 Stromsgodset 12 4 3 5 -7 15
10 Haugesund 12 4 3 5 -7 15
11 Sarpsborg 08 12 4 2 6 +2 14
12 Sandefjord 12 4 1 7 -9 13
13 Viking 12 3 2 7 -9 11
14 Start 13 1 6 6 -11 9
15 Mjondalen 12 2 2 8 -8 8
16 Aalesund 12 1 3 8 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Sandefjord
6′
Rufo Herraiz 0–1
V. Jonsson
16′
🟨 William Kurtović
1–1 J. Hove
I. Jack
18′
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–2
46′
S. Gussiås 1–2
A. Kralj
2–2 L. Salvesen
N. Mickelson
52′
54′
🟨 Martin Kreuzriegler
3–2 M. Maigaard
54′
Niklas Gunnarsson 🟨
62′
63′
S. Gussiås 3–3
64′
🔁 L. Grorud
↦ E. Pálsson
64′
🔁 K. Hansen
↦ P. Johansen
77′
🔁 G. Gibson
↦ S. Gussiås
H. Stenevik 🔁
↦ K. Tokstad
79′
84′
🔁 S. Foss
↦ V. Jonsson
M. Mølvadgaard 🔁
↦ J. Hove
89′
90′
🟨 Martin Kreuzriegler
90′
🟥 Martin Kreuzriegler
94′
K. Hansen 3–4
G. Gibson
A. Leifsson 🔁
↦ S. Hanssen
96′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 V. Myhra G
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 N. Gunnarsson D
14 N. Mickelson D
70 S. Hanssen D
11 K. Tokstad F
20 M. Maigaard M
8 J. Hove M
42 I. Jack M
88 L. Salvesen F
10 M. Mawa F
Bench (9)
19 H. Stenevik
9 M. Mølvadgaard
2 A. Leifsson
80 A. Nyhagen
64 S. Pop
58 S. Hammershaug
92 K. Krasniqi
17 T. Gulliksen
40 M. Sætra

Coach: H. Pedersen

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 J. Storevik G
3 Marc Vales D
23 V. Jonsson F
5 M. Kreuzriegler D
21 A. Kralj D
13 L. Markmanrud D
6 E. Pálsson M
18 W. Kurtović M
31 P. Johansen M
10 Rufo Herraiz F
9 S. Gussiås F
Bench (8)
2 L. Grorud
11 K. Hansen
20 G. Gibson
17 S. Foss
25 H. Falchener
99 J. Granlund
15 E. Brenden
22 H. Nilsen

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kristoffer Hagenes · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.