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Championship

Derby

U T U T T

0–0

Full-time

Preston

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derby Preston

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Championship · 27/28 matches

Win Ø 37%

44%

29%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

41%

36%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,9

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 11

0 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

10 Corners 2

2 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Derby 6. · Preston 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	27	17	5	5	+29	56
2	Middlesbrough	27	17	4	6	+23	55
3	Burnley	28	14	9	5	+21	51
4	Brighton	27	13	10	4	+6	49
5	Birmingham	29	13	8	8	+9	47
6	Derby	27	12	10	5	+12	46
7	Sheffield Weds	27	12	9	6	+11	45
8	Ipswich	28	12	9	7	+2	45
9	Cardiff	29	11	11	7	+5	44
10	Brentford	29	11	7	11	+1	40
11	Nott'm Forest	29	9	12	8	+5	39
12	Wolves	28	10	8	10	-1	38
13	QPR	29	8	12	9	+0	36
14	Leeds	29	8	12	9	-4	36
15	Reading	28	9	8	11	+1	35
16	Preston	28	8	11	9	-2	35
17	Huddersfield	29	8	8	13	-3	32
18	Blackburn	27	6	12	9	+0	30
19	Fulham	28	6	10	12	-5	28
20	Milton Keynes Dons	28	7	5	16	-18	26
21	Rotherham	29	7	4	18	-18	25
22	Bristol City	29	5	10	14	-23	25
23	Charlton	29	5	9	15	-29	24
24	Bolton	28	3	11	14	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	13	11	2	0	+26	35
2	Middlesbrough	14	10	2	2	+17	32
3	Burnley	14	9	3	2	+17	30
4	Sheffield Weds	13	9	3	1	+15	30
5	Brighton	14	9	2	3	+4	29
6	Cardiff	14	7	6	1	+8	27
7	Derby	14	7	5	2	+12	26
8	Nott'm Forest	15	6	6	3	+8	24
9	Reading	14	6	5	3	+7	23
10	Birmingham	14	7	2	5	+2	23
11	Ipswich	14	5	6	3	+3	21
12	Brentford	15	6	3	6	-2	21
13	QPR	14	4	8	2	+5	20
14	Huddersfield	15	5	4	6	+5	19
15	Milton Keynes Dons	14	6	1	7	-6	19
16	Preston	14	4	6	4	-1	18
17	Bolton	14	3	8	3	+0	17
18	Wolves	14	4	5	5	-2	17
19	Leeds	14	4	5	5	-3	17
20	Rotherham	15	5	2	8	-5	17
21	Blackburn	13	3	7	3	+3	16
22	Fulham	14	4	4	6	+0	16
23	Charlton	14	3	6	5	-7	15
24	Bristol City	15	3	6	6	-7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Birmingham	15	6	6	3	+7	24
2	Ipswich	14	7	3	4	-1	24
3	Middlesbrough	13	7	2	4	+6	23
4	Burnley	14	5	6	3	+4	21
5	Hull	14	6	3	5	+3	21
6	Wolves	14	6	3	5	+1	21
7	Brighton	13	4	8	1	+2	20
8	Derby	13	5	5	3	+0	20
9	Brentford	14	5	4	5	+3	19
10	Leeds	15	4	7	4	-1	19
11	Preston	14	4	5	5	-1	17
12	Cardiff	15	4	5	6	-3	17
13	QPR	15	4	4	7	-5	16
14	Nott'm Forest	14	3	6	5	-3	15
15	Sheffield Weds	14	3	6	5	-4	15
16	Blackburn	14	3	5	6	-3	14
17	Huddersfield	14	3	4	7	-8	13
18	Fulham	14	2	6	6	-5	12
19	Reading	14	3	3	8	-6	12
20	Bristol City	14	2	4	8	-16	10
21	Charlton	15	2	3	10	-22	9
22	Rotherham	14	2	2	10	-13	8
23	Milton Keynes Dons	14	1	4	9	-12	7
24	Bolton	14	0	3	11	-22	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.