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Championship
Referee: Simon Hooper
Bolton
T U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Leeds
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bolton Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
This season — Championship · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 13%
8%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 55%
42%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
4 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bolton 24. · Leeds 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 12 8 4 0 +8 28
2 Burnley 13 7 4 2 +6 25
3 Birmingham 12 7 3 2 +8 24
4 Hull 12 6 4 2 +9 22
5 Reading 13 6 4 3 +8 22
6 Middlesbrough 12 6 3 3 +9 21
7 Derby 12 5 6 1 +7 21
8 Cardiff 12 5 5 2 +4 20
9 Sheffield Weds 13 5 5 3 +2 20
10 Fulham 13 4 5 4 +3 17
11 QPR 12 4 4 4 -3 16
12 Ipswich 12 4 4 4 -5 16
13 Wolves 12 4 3 5 +0 15
14 Huddersfield 12 3 5 4 -2 14
15 Brentford 12 4 2 6 -4 14
16 Nott'm Forest 12 3 4 5 -3 13
17 Blackburn 13 2 6 5 -2 12
18 Leeds 12 2 6 4 -5 12
19 Preston 12 2 5 5 -3 11
20 Milton Keynes Dons 12 3 2 7 -4 11
21 Bristol City 12 2 4 6 -7 10
22 Charlton 12 2 4 6 -7 10
23 Rotherham 13 2 3 8 -9 9
24 Bolton 12 1 5 6 -10 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bolton Leeds
Shola Ameobi 🔁
↦ G. Madine
12′
1–0 Shola Ameobi
32′
38′
🟨 Sam Byram
Half-time 1–0
S. Dobbie 🔁
↦ M. Davies
46′
46′
🔁 A. Mowatt
↦ L. Murphy
Prince Gouano 🟥
71′
71′
M. Antenucci 1–1
74′
🔁 W. Buckley
↦ S. Dallas
D. Dervite 🔁
↦ N. Danns
79′
87′
🔁 K. Phillips
↦ L. Cook
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bolton

1 B. Amos G
31 D. Wheater D
20 Casado D
2 P. Gouano D
15 Derik Osede M
16 M. Davies M
18 N. Danns M
7 L. Feeney M
21 D. Pratley M
6 J. Vela M
14 G. Madine F
Bench (7)
26 Shola Ameobi
23 S. Dobbie
4 D. Dervite
12 M. Clayton
13 P. Rachubka
27 F. Twardzik
42 T. Walker

Leeds

1 M. Silvestri G
28 G. Berardi D
3 S. Bamba D
6 L. Cooper D
2 S. Byram M
8 L. Murphy M
24 T. Adeyemi M
15 S. Dallas M
23 L. Cook M
7 M. Antenucci F
9 C. Wood F
Bench (7)
10 A. Mowatt
25 W. Buckley
27 K. Phillips
4 S. Wootton
5 G. Bellusci
11 S. Doukara
30 C. Horton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Simon Hooper · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.