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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Chelsea
S T T S T
1–1
Full-time
West Ham
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Premier League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 41%
55%
26%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
58%
61%
Both score Ø 49%
42%
55%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
23 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chelsea 5. · West Ham 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 32 27 3 2 +66 84
2 Man United 32 22 5 5 +38 71
3 Liverpool 33 19 10 4 +40 67
4 Tottenham 32 20 7 5 +37 67
5 Chelsea 31 17 5 9 +23 56
6 Arsenal 32 16 6 10 +18 54
7 Burnley 32 13 10 9 +3 49
8 Leicester 32 11 10 11 +3 43
9 Everton 33 11 8 14 -15 41
10 Newcastle 32 10 8 14 -8 38
11 Bournemouth 33 9 11 13 -12 38
12 Watford 33 10 7 16 -17 37
13 Brighton 32 8 11 13 -14 35
14 West Ham 31 8 9 14 -18 33
15 Swansea 32 8 8 16 -19 32
16 Huddersfield 33 8 8 17 -28 32
17 Crystal Palace 33 7 10 16 -19 31
18 Southampton 32 5 13 14 -19 28
19 Stoke 33 6 9 18 -33 27
20 West Brom 33 3 12 18 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chelsea West Ham
1–0 Azpilicueta
Álvaro Morata
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Mark Noble
64′
🔁 P. Evra
↦ A. Cresswell
70′
🔁 Javier Hernández
↦ E. Fernandes
73′
Javier Hernández 1–1
M. Arnautović
Pedro 🔁
↦ V. Moses
78′
O. Giroud 🔁
↦ Álvaro Morata
78′
85′
🔁 J. Cullen
↦ João Mário
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Chelsea

3-4-2-1
13 T. Courtois G
24 G. Cahill D
28 Azpilicueta D
3 Marcos Alonso M
2 A. Rüdiger D
4 Fàbregas M
22 Willian F
15 V. Moses M
10 E. Hazard F
7 N. Kanté M
9 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (7)
11 Pedro
18 O. Giroud
1 W. Caballero
6 D. Drinkwater
14 T. Bakayoko
27 A. Christensen
33 Emerson

Coach: A. Conte

West Ham

3-4-2-1
25 J. Hart G
5 P. Zabaleta M
21 A. Ogbonna D
3 A. Cresswell D
26 A. Masuaku M
16 M. Noble M
8 C. Kouyaté M
18 João Mário F
31 E. Fernandes F
41 D. Rice D
7 M. Arnautović F
Bench (7)
27 P. Evra
17 Javier Hernández
33 J. Cullen
12 J. Hugill
13 Adrián
39 J. Pask
45 G. Diangana

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.