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Premier League

Referee: Michael Oliver

Brighton

T U S T U

2–2

Full-time

Bournemouth

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Bournemouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,2

3,7

Scored

0,2

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,3

This season — Premier League · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 24%

24%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

24%

57%

Both score Ø 36%

29%

43%

Average goals

1,9

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 26

6 Shots on target 8

6 Blocked shots 13

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 12

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 12. · Bournemouth 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	21	19	2	0	+49	59
2	Chelsea	21	14	3	4	+25	45
3	Man United	21	13	5	3	+27	44
4	Liverpool	21	11	8	2	+24	41
5	Arsenal	21	11	5	5	+12	38
6	Tottenham	20	11	4	5	+19	37
7	Burnley	21	9	7	5	+1	34
8	Leicester	21	7	6	8	-1	27
9	Everton	21	7	6	8	-7	27
10	Watford	21	7	4	10	-7	25
11	Huddersfield	21	6	6	9	-14	24
12	Brighton	21	5	7	9	-10	22
13	Southampton	21	4	8	9	-10	20
14	Bournemouth	21	5	5	11	-12	20
15	Stoke	21	5	5	11	-23	20
16	Newcastle	21	5	4	12	-11	19
17	Crystal Palace	21	4	7	10	-14	19
18	West Ham	20	4	6	10	-16	18
19	West Brom	21	2	10	9	-13	16
20	Swansea	21	4	4	13	-19	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	10	9	1	0	+29	28
2	Man United	11	8	2	1	+19	26
3	Arsenal	10	8	1	1	+15	25
4	Chelsea	11	8	1	2	+14	25
5	Liverpool	11	6	5	0	+17	23
6	Tottenham	10	6	3	1	+13	21
7	Everton	10	6	1	3	+4	19
8	Burnley	10	5	2	3	+1	17
9	Huddersfield	11	4	4	3	-2	16
10	Leicester	10	4	2	4	-1	14
11	Brighton	10	3	5	2	-2	14
12	Stoke	10	4	2	4	-6	14
13	Southampton	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Crystal Palace	11	3	4	4	-4	13
15	Bournemouth	11	3	3	5	-3	12
16	Watford	11	3	3	5	-9	12
17	West Ham	9	3	2	4	-4	11
18	Newcastle	11	3	2	6	-4	11
19	West Brom	11	1	7	3	-5	10
20	Swansea	10	2	2	6	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	10	1	0	+20	31
2	Chelsea	10	6	2	2	+11	20
3	Man United	10	5	3	2	+8	18
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	+7	18
5	Burnley	11	4	5	2	+0	17
6	Tottenham	10	5	1	4	+6	16
7	Watford	10	4	1	5	+2	13
8	Leicester	11	3	4	4	+0	13
9	Arsenal	11	3	4	4	-3	13
10	Newcastle	10	2	2	6	-7	8
11	Brighton	11	2	2	7	-8	8
12	Bournemouth	10	2	2	6	-9	8
13	Swansea	11	2	2	7	-10	8
14	Everton	11	1	5	5	-11	8
15	Huddersfield	10	2	2	6	-12	8
16	Southampton	10	1	4	5	-8	7
17	West Ham	11	1	4	6	-12	7
18	West Brom	10	1	3	6	-8	6
19	Crystal Palace	10	1	3	6	-10	6
20	Stoke	11	1	3	7	-17	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.