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Eliteserien
Lillestrom
S U T S S
3–0
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
33%
11%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 78%
78%
78%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 8. · Bodo/Glimt 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 9 7 1 1 +22 22
2 Stabaek 9 6 2 1 +10 20
3 Molde 10 5 2 3 +12 17
4 Valerenga 9 5 2 2 +5 17
5 Viking 9 5 1 3 +2 16
6 Odd 9 4 3 2 +4 15
7 Sarpsborg 08 9 3 4 2 +3 13
8 Lillestrom 9 3 4 2 +1 13
9 Stromsgodset 10 3 3 4 -5 12
10 Mjondalen 10 3 3 4 -6 12
11 Haugesund 10 3 3 4 -7 12
12 Aalesund 9 3 2 4 -8 11
13 Start 9 2 3 4 -4 9
14 Sandefjord 9 2 0 7 -11 6
15 Bodo/Glimt 9 1 2 6 -10 5
16 Tromso 9 1 1 7 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.