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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Kellerhals
Kongsvinger
T S S T T
0–1
Full-time
Grorud
T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Grorud
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,7
4,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
3,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 12. · Grorud 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ranheim 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Tromso 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Lillestrom 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Sogndal 3 2 0 1 +6 6
5 KFUM Oslo 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Sandnes ULF 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Ull/Kisa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
8 Stjørdals-Blink 3 1 0 2 +0 3
9 Raufoss 3 1 0 2 +0 3
10 Grorud 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Øygarden 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Kongsvinger 3 1 0 2 -4 3
13 Asane 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Strommen 3 1 0 2 -4 3
15 Jerv 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Ham-Kam 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Grorud
24′
🟨 K. Mankowitz
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 N. J. Hristov
46′
🔁 O. Aga
↦ F. Pettersen
46′
🔁 R. Hauge
↦ N. Hristov
E. Skagestad 🟨
51′
H. Holter 🟨
54′
A. Smedplass 🔁
↦ S. Sahlgren
60′
69′
O. Aga 0–1
73′
🔁 S. Grønli
↦ P. Mankowitz
Marlinho 🔁
↦ E. Skagestad
74′
R. Essaeh 🔁
↦ Lee Gyu-hwan
75′
77′
🔁 F. Ahmed
↦ K. Mankowitz
M. Gjerstrøm 🔁
↦ E. Mæland
81′
L. Langrekken 🔁
↦ M. Vinjor
81′
L. Langrekken 🟨
84′
95′
🔁 C. Zafeiris
↦ E. Hagen
96′
🟨 C. Zafeiris
V. Jalasto 🟨
97′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

1 S. Sahlgren
6 V. Jalasto
25 E. Skagestad
3 V. Grodås
2 F. Pålerud
29 E. Mæland
16 H. Holter
11 S. Marklund
23 M. Vinjor
7 Lee Gyu-hwan
9 A. Güven
Bench (9)
31 A. Smedplass
15 Marlinho
24 R. Essaeh
17 M. Gjerstrøm
22 L. Langrekken
5 C. Røer
8 Gang Dong-Wan
20 E. Bydal
21 D. Lysgård

Coach: M. Lehkosuo

Grorud

1 E. Ødegaard
3 T. Murray
32 L. Cornic
4 A. Guðjónsson
5 G. Harviken
11 K. Mankowitz
6 M. Høyland
8 E. Hagen
7 P. Mankowitz
9 F. Pettersen
14 N. Hristov
Bench (9)
19 O. Aga
30 R. Hauge
25 S. Grønli
10 F. Ahmed
26 C. Zafeiris
21 G. Meyer
24 K. Novak
12 M. Viken
99 M. Dahlby

Coach: E. Kjönö

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.