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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Berg
5–2
Full-time
Kongsvinger
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stjørdals-Blink Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stjørdals-Blink 14. · Kongsvinger 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sogndal 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Ranheim 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Tromso 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Lillestrom 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Sandnes ULF 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Raufoss 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 KFUM Oslo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Ull/Kisa 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Kongsvinger 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Asane 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Strommen 2 1 0 1 -3 3
12 Jerv 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Grorud 2 0 0 2 -3 0
14 Stjørdals-Blink 2 0 0 2 -3 0
15 Øygarden 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Ham-Kam 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stjørdals-Blink Kongsvinger
4′
S. Marklund 0–1
1–1 M. Augdal
12′
V. Vinje 🟨
30′
44′
🟨 V. Grodas
Half-time 2–1
2–1 S. Stokke
52′
S. Kartum 🟨
54′
56′
🔁 L. Langrekken
↦ M. Vinjor
58′
A. Güven 2–2
60′
🔁 V. Jalasto
↦ E. Skagestad
O. Rødahl 🔁
↦ A. Nygaard
62′
3–2 M. Lillebo
63′
J. Olufsen 🔁
↦ M. Augdal
66′
M. Lillebo 🟨
71′
R. Bjornholm-Jatta 🟨
74′
82′
🔁 Gang Dong-Wan
↦ M. Gjerstrøm
82′
🔁 Marlinho
↦ Lee Gyu-hwan
J. Skille 🔁
↦ M. Lillebo
84′
L. Bransdal 🔁
↦ S. Stokke
85′
4–2 O. Rødahl
88′
V. Fiske 🟨
93′
5–2 L. Bransdal
93′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Stjørdals-Blink

1 N. Frenderup
29 R. Bjørnholm-Jatta
15 V. Fiske
4 V. Vinje
14 M. Strand
20 S. Sandmæl
8 S. Kartum
7 M. Augdal
5 A. Nygaard
10 S. Stokke
9 M. Lillebo
Bench (7)
32 O. Rødahl
11 J. Olufsen
30 J. Skille
25 L. Bransdal
21 J. Johansson
22 P. Hjelmseth
23 S. Halgunset

Coach: R. Vikvang

Kongsvinger

31 A. Smedplass
25 E. Skagestad
3 V. Grodås
2 F. Pålerud
5 C. Røer
17 M. Gjerstrøm
16 H. Holter
11 S. Marklund
23 M. Vinjor
7 Lee Gyu-hwan
9 A. Güven
Bench (7)
22 L. Langrekken
6 V. Jalasto
8 Gang Dong-Wan
15 Marlinho
1 S. Sahlgren
20 E. Bydal
21 D. Lysgård

Coach: M. Lehkosuo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.