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Serie B

Livorno

T S T T T

0–1

Full-time

Spezia

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livorno Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 30%

15%

45%

Points per game

0,6

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

42%

55%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

4 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 7

0 Corners 9

19 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Livorno 20. · Spezia 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	33	23	8	2	+38	77
2	Crotone	33	17	7	9	+19	58
3	Pordenone	33	16	7	10	+4	55
4	Spezia	33	15	8	10	+13	53
5	Cittadella	33	15	7	11	+5	52
6	Frosinone	33	14	9	10	+5	51
7	Empoli	33	12	12	9	+2	48
8	Chievo	33	11	14	8	+7	47
9	Salernitana	33	13	8	12	+3	47
10	Pisa	33	12	10	11	+3	46
11	Virtus Entella	33	11	10	12	-3	43
12	Perugia	34	11	8	15	-10	41
13	Cremonese	33	10	10	13	-3	40
14	Pescara	33	11	7	15	-6	40
15	Venezia	33	9	13	11	-6	40
16	Ascoli	33	11	6	16	-7	39
17	Juve Stabia	33	10	7	16	-13	37
18	Cosenza	34	8	10	16	-7	34
19	Trapani	33	7	13	13	-17	34
20	Livorno	33	5	6	22	-27	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	17	13	4	0	+29	43
2	Pordenone	17	11	4	2	+14	37
3	Crotone	16	10	4	2	+17	34
4	Spezia	17	10	3	4	+13	33
5	Salernitana	16	9	6	1	+12	33
6	Frosinone	16	10	3	3	+12	33
7	Empoli	17	7	8	2	+9	29
8	Pisa	17	8	5	4	+6	29
9	Virtus Entella	16	8	5	3	+6	29
10	Chievo	17	8	4	5	+7	28
11	Ascoli	16	8	4	4	+6	28
12	Juve Stabia	17	8	3	6	+1	27
13	Pescara	17	6	7	4	+7	25
14	Perugia	17	7	4	6	+1	25
15	Cremonese	16	6	4	6	+2	22
16	Cittadella	17	6	4	7	-3	22
17	Trapani	16	5	6	5	+2	21
18	Cosenza	17	4	5	8	-4	17
19	Venezia	16	3	5	8	-9	14
20	Livorno	16	3	2	11	-16	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	16	10	4	2	+9	34
2	Cittadella	16	9	3	4	+8	30
3	Venezia	17	6	8	3	+3	26
4	Crotone	17	7	3	7	+2	24
5	Spezia	16	5	5	6	+0	20
6	Chievo	16	3	10	3	+0	19
7	Empoli	16	5	4	7	-7	19
8	Cremonese	17	4	6	7	-5	18
9	Frosinone	17	4	6	7	-7	18
10	Pordenone	16	5	3	8	-10	18
11	Cosenza	17	4	5	8	-3	17
12	Pisa	16	4	5	7	-3	17
13	Perugia	17	4	4	9	-11	16
14	Pescara	16	5	0	11	-13	15
15	Virtus Entella	17	3	5	9	-9	14
16	Salernitana	17	4	2	11	-9	14
17	Trapani	17	2	7	8	-19	13
18	Ascoli	17	3	2	12	-13	11
19	Livorno	17	2	4	11	-11	10
20	Juve Stabia	16	2	4	10	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.