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OBOS-ligaen
Arendal
T T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Jerv
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arendal Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
0,6
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
0,6
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Arendal 12. · Jerv 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Ull/Kisa 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Ranheim 5 4 1 0 +4 13
4 Mjondalen 5 3 2 0 +8 11
5 Start 5 3 1 1 +6 10
6 Sandnes ULF 5 3 1 1 +1 10
7 Strommen 5 2 1 2 -1 7
8 Tromsdalen Uil 5 1 2 2 -1 5
9 Levanger 5 0 4 1 -1 4
10 Floro 5 0 4 1 -2 4
11 Asane 5 1 1 3 -3 4
12 Arendal 5 1 0 4 -2 3
13 Fredrikstad 5 0 3 2 -2 3
14 Jerv 5 0 2 3 -5 2
15 Kongsvinger 5 0 2 3 -7 2
16 Elverum 5 0 2 3 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arendal Jerv
1–0 P. Rnkovic
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Knudsen
↦ K. Tønnessen
61′
🔁 E. Danso
↦ T. Collett
68′
A. Lind 1–1
A. Markovic 🔁
↦ T. Olsvik
72′
W. Pepa 🔁
↦ A. Mohammed
87′
89′
🔁 M. Andersen
↦ U. Berglann
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Arendal

12 A. Gundersen
6 S. Stray
7 P. Rnkovic
2 M. Olsen
13 S. Kiilerich
3 D. Corovic
5 T. Henanger
10 J. Rasmussen
14 T. Olsvik
11 Y. Ibrahimaj
17 A. Mohammed
Bench (6)
20 A. Markovic
9 W. Pepa
1 J. Aaland
16 O. Håbestad
26 L. Kilen
28 T. Dwe

Coach: K. Tørum

Jerv

1 Ø. Knutsen
2 G. Andersen
5 N. Andersen
3 B. Wembangomo
19 K. Tønnessen
23 A. Hagen
18 T. Collett
25 M. Ogungbaro
7 U. Berglann
69 A. Lind
13 B. Akintola
Bench (7)
4 E. Knudsen
10 E. Danso
17 M. Andersen
8 C. MacConnacher
9 E. Haugstad
12 S. Christensen
20 J. Toft

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.