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Conference League
Referee: I Frid
Rīgas FS
S S S U T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rīgas FS FK Jablonec
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Conference League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 64%
60%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 47%
60%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

58% Possession 42%
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Rīgas FS FK Jablonec
4′
R. Sedlacek 0–1
M. Polidar
22′
S. Nebyla 0–2
1–2 Z. Lipuscek
D. Zelenkovs
38′
Half-time 1–2
Stefan Panić 🟨
49′
Modou Saidy 🟨
56′
61′
🔁 A. Rusek
↦ F. Zorvan
61′
🔁 J. Suchan
↦ M. Polidar
69′
🟨 Richard Sedláček
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ A. Balde
71′
78′
🔁 N. Okeke
↦ L. Jawo
Aleksandar Filipović 🟨
79′
Aleksandar Filipović 🟨
83′
Aleksandar Filipović 🟥
83′
D. Lemajic 🔁
↦ M. Saidy
84′
G. Mankenda 🔁
↦ L. Odisharia
84′
85′
🔁 D. Soucek
↦ V. Chanturishvili
85′
🔁 F. Vecheta
↦ S. Nebyla
89′
🟨 Filip Vecheta
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Rīgas FS

4-2-3-1
1 R. Matrevics G
6 A. Filipovic D
23 H. Prenga D
43 Z. Lipuscek D
18 D. Zelenkovs M
66 M. Saidy M
26 S. Panic M
19 A. Balde M
10 J. Ikaunieks M
8 L. Odisharia M
15 R. Ndjiki F
Bench (9)
40 M. Muizzemnieks
4 R. Veips
5 N. Sliede
9 D. Korac
14 M. Sylla
21 N. Dusalijevs
22 D. Lemajic
77 G. Mankenda
81 S. Rakic

Coach: Viktors Morozs

FK Jablonec

3-5-2
1 J. Hanus G
18 M. Cedidla D
4 N. Tekijaski D
15 D. Pavlovic D
7 V. Chanturishvili M
25 S. Nebyla M
13 R. Sedlacek M
8 F. Zorvan M
20 J. Slama D
44 L. Jawo F
21 M. Polidar M
Bench (10)
99 K. Mihelak
6 N. Okeke
9 A. Rusek
10 J. Suchan
14 D. Soucek
16 H. Ahl
19 J. Chramosta
23 E. Sobol
27 F. Vecheta
57 F. Novak

Coach: Lubos Kozel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Frid · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.