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Conference League
Referee: O Johnson
Stjarnan
T S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Ilves
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stjarnan Ilves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Stjarnan Ilves
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 R. Riski
↦ J. Kilo
58′
🔁 O. Multala
↦ J. Veteli
Emil Atlason 🟨
64′
B. Hauksson 🔁
↦ T. Thorisson
66′
71′
🔁 G. Bamba
↦ O. Pettersson
71′
🔁 V. Kumpu
↦ S. Vaisanen
81′
🟨 Anton Popovitch
D. Matthiasson 🔁
↦ B. Waren
83′
A. Vilhjalmsson 🔁
↦ O. Eggertsson
83′
1–0 G. Nokkvason ⚽
84′
85′
🔁 L. Ala-Myllymaki
↦ M. Rale
Daníel Finns Matthíasson 🟨
91′
A. Hauksson 🔁
↦ G. Nokkvason
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Stjarnan

4-3-3
12 A. Olafsson
32 O. Orvarsson
6 S. T. Ingimarsson D
3 G. Kjeldsen D
4 T. Thorisson D
23 B. Waren M
18 G. Nokkvason M
8 J. Gunnarsson M
11 B. Ingason M
22 E. Atlason F
7 O. Eggertsson
Bench (12)
1 D. Bergmann Gylfason
83 D. Beic
5 G. Kristjansson
10 D. Matthiasson
14 B. Hauksson
19 A. Leifsson
24 S. Jonsson
25 C. Alexandersson
29 A. Hauksson
35 B. Saemundsson
94 A. Vilhjalmsson
99 A. Bjarnason

Coach: Jokull Elisabetarson

Ilves

4-3-3
12 F. Krkalic G
4 O. Pettersson
5 S. Vaisanen D
16 T. Miettunen D
3 M. Rale D
7 J. Veteli M
30 J. Kanga M
14 A. Popovitch M
13 K. Wallius M
9 T. Hytonen F
28 J. Kilo M
Bench (9)
1 O. Virtanen
31 R. Leislahti
10 R. Riski
15 L. Ala-Myllymaki
17 S. Baranov
19 G. Bamba
20 O. Tiitinen
22 O. Multala
24 V. Kumpu

Coach: Joni Lehtonen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Johnson · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.