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Referee: E Wattellier
AEK Larnaca
U U S U T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larnaca Beitar Jerusalem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,0
3,7
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

AEK Larnaca Beitar Jerusalem
7′
🟨 Eugene Ansah
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Omer Atzili
57′
🔁 J. Kalu
↦ O. Atzili
57′
🔁 T. Muzie
↦ Y. Shua
57′
🔁 S. Weissman
↦ E. Ansah
Y. Gurfinkel 🔁
↦ K. Pileas
62′
Y. Amyn 🔁
↦ D. Ivanovic
63′
G. Ekpolo 🔁
↦ Miramon
63′
65′
🟨 Noam Muche
C. Kyriakou 🔁
↦ I. Pankov
68′
Mike Van der Hoorn 🟥
72′
Z. Adoni 🔁
↦ A. Layouni
76′
77′
B. Carabali 0–1
82′
🔁 Z. Ben Shimol
↦ N. Muche
94′
🟨 Ziv Ben Shimol
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca

4-1-4-1
51 A. Paraskevas G
21 Miramon M
15 H. Milicevic D
3 M. van der Hoorn D
17 K. Pileas D
7 Ledes Gustavo M
14 A. Layouni M
20 J. Repas M
6 I. Pankov M
9 D. Ivanovic M
11 R. Bajic F
Bench (10)
1 V. Muftic
99 D. Demetriou
8 Y. Amyn
10 W. Rubio
13 Y. Gurfinkel
22 G. Ekpolo
25 C. Kyriakou
29 G. Naoum
37 D. Gerasimou
44 Z. Adoni

Coach: Mauro Camoranesi

Beitar Jerusalem

4-3-3
55 Miguel Silva G
2 N. Antwi D
5 G. Cohen D
4 B. Carabali D
16 Y. Cohen D
26 D. Worko M
40 Boris Enow M
15 N. Muche M
77 O. Atzili F
13 E. Ansah F
7 Y. Shua F
Bench (10)
22 Y. Ozer
33 D. Nir
8 Z. Ben Shimol
9 J. Kalu
11 T. Muzie
14 R. Elimelech
19 S. Weissman
20 O. Dahan
24 N. Markovitch
25 L. Deri

Coach: Almog Cohen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.