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Conference League
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes
Aktobe
T T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Sparta Praha
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aktobe Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,2
3,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Aktobe Sparta Praha
7′
🟨 Albion Rrahmani
Daniyar Usenov 🟨
18′
1–0 D. Sosah ⚽
B. Vatajelu
29′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Uchenna Aririerisim
Daniel Sosah 🟨
53′
61′
🔁 V. Olatunji
↦ A. Rrahmani
61′
🔁 M. Rynes
↦ M. Suchomel
G. Zhukov 🔁
↦ D. Usenov
62′
66′
🟨 Victor Olatunji
O. Omirtaev 🔁
↦ A. Shushenachev
70′
E. Seydakhmet 🔁
↦ U. Agbo
70′
71′
🔁 V. Birmancevic
↦ J. Kuchta
71′
🔁 A. Sorensen
↦ A. Sevinsky
Lev Skvortsov 🟨
73′
I. Umaev 🔁
↦ J. Jean
77′
81′
🔁 S. Eneme
↦ L. Haraslin
2–0 O. Omirtaev ⚽
D. Sosah
83′
Nemanja Anđelković 🟨
89′
Andrei Daniel Vlad 🟨
90′
90′
⚽ V. Birmancevic 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aktobe

25 A. Vlad G
2 L. Skvortsov D
26 N. Andjelkovic D
5 B. Kairov D
7 D. Sosah F
4 U. Agbo M
30 N. Korzun M
88 B. Vatajelu D
29 D. Usenov M
11 A. Shushenachev F
18 J. Jean M
Bench (10)
1 I. Trofimets
10 I. Umaev
12 A. Doumbouya
14 V. Shvyrev
19 O. Omirtaev
20 G. Zhukov
22 E. Seydakhmet
23 T. Kusyapov
31 A. Tanzharikov
42 A. Baydavletov

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
16 E. Uchenna D
19 A. Sevinsky D
33 E. Cobbaut D
17 A. Preciado M
18 L. Sadilek M
6 K. Kairinen M
2 M. Suchomel M
10 J. Kuchta F
9 A. Rrahmani F
22 L. Haraslin F
Bench (11)
44 J. Surovcik
46 J. Heerkens
3 P. Kaderabek
5 S. Eneme
7 V. Olatunji
8 M. Andersen
11 M. Rynes
14 V. Birmancevic
25 A. Sorensen
26 P. Vydra
29 E. Krasniqi

Coach: Brian Priske Pedersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Kristoffer Hagenes · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.