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Conference League
Referee: R Harvey
Bodo/Glimt
T S S S U
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodo/Glimt Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
80%
60%
Points per game
2,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
100%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
3,8
2,6
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

62% Possession 38%
20 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 27
1 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bodo/Glimt Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
12′
🟨 Roland Niczuly
1–0 S. Sørli
23′
28′
🟨 Jonathan Rodriguez
2–0 A. Pellegrino
28′
T. Gulliksen 🔁
↦ S. Sørli
41′
42′
I. Alimi 2–1
Half-time 2–2
46′
R. Varga 2–2
58′
🟨 Denis Ciobotariu
60′
🟨 Andres Dumitrescu
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen 🟨
62′
70′
🟨 Pavol Šafranko
S. Fet 🔁
↦ U. Saltnes
79′
F. Sjøvold 🔁
↦ B. Wembangomo
79′
81′
🟨 Nicolae Păun
85′
🔁 V. Damaşcan
↦ R. Varga
R. Espejord 🔁
↦ F. Moumbagna
90′
96′
🔁 M. Rondón
↦ P. Šafranko
3–2 A. Pellegrino
100′
103′
🟨 Marius Ștefănescu
D. Bassi 🔁
↦ T. Gulliksen
105′
105′
🔁 I. Gheorghe
↦ N. Păun
105′
🔁 A. Aganović
↦ A. Dumitrescu
A. Sørensen 🔁
↦ F. Bjørkan
111′
111′
🔁 S. Kallaku
↦ J. Rodríguez
121′
🟨 Marius Ștefănescu
121′
🟥 Marius Ștefănescu
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
12 N. Haikin G
5 B. Wembangomo D
18 B. Moe D
4 O. Bjørtuft M
15 F. Bjørkan D
14 U. Saltnes D
77 P. Berg M
8 A. Grønbæk M
27 S. Sørli F
29 F. Moumbagna F
7 A. Pellegrino M
Bench (11)
25 T. Gulliksen
19 S. Fet
20 F. Sjøvold
11 R. Espejord
10 D. Bassi
30 A. Sørensen
2 M. Lode
16 M. Konradsen
44 M. Brøndbo
47 S. Kristiansen
22 P. Dahl

Coach: K. Knutsen

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

4-2-3-1
33 Roland Niczuly G
13 D. Ciobotariu D
44 M. Bălașa D
82 B. Ňinaj M
20 A. Dumitrescu D
5 J. Rodríguez M
6 N. Păun D
97 R. Varga M
21 I. Alimi F
11 M. Ștefănescu F
18 P. Šafranko M
Bench (12)
9 V. Damaşcan
99 M. Rondón
8 I. Gheorghe
77 A. Aganović
59 S. Kallaku
10 C. Matei
22 Francisco Júnior
30 Á. Nistor
25 B. Oteliță
1 D. Moldovan
98 H. Gedő
17 D. Oroian

Coach: L. Ciobotariu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.