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Europa League
Referee: D Makkelie
Sevilla
S T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Juventus
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
43%
57%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
43%
14%
Both score Ø 36%
29%
43%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
0,9
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,45 xG 1,78
59% Possession 41%
28 Shots 17
10 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 9
18 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. May -23 Juventus – Sevilla 1–1

Match report

Sevilla Juventus
11′
🟨 Moise Kean
41′
🔁 L. Paredes
↦ N. Fagioli
Half-time 0–0
Marcos Acuña 🟨
57′
Suso 🔁
↦ Óliver Torres
62′
64′
🔁 F. Chiesa
↦ Á. Di María
64′
🔁 D. Vlahović
↦ M. Kean
65′
⚽ D. Vlahović 0–1
E. Lamela 🔁
↦ L. Ocampos
70′
1–1 Suso ⚽
E. Lamela
71′
86′
🔁 F. Miretti
↦ M. Locatelli
86′
🔁 F. Kostić
↦ S. Iling-Junior
2–1 E. Lamela ⚽
Bryan Gil
95′
G. Montiel 🔁
↦ Bryan Gil
100′
105′
🟨 Danilo
P. Gómez 🔁
↦ Jesús Navas
105′
105′
🔁 A. Milik
↦ J. Cuadrado
Marcos Acuña 🟨
115′
Marcos Acuña 🟥
115′
Suso 🟨
117′
117′
🟨 Leandro Paredes
K. Rekik 🔁
↦ Suso
118′
Gonzalo Montiel 🟨
124′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 Y. Bounou G
16 Jesús Navas D
44 L. Badé D
6 N. Gudelj D
19 M. Acuña D
20 Fernando M
10 I. Rakitić M
55 L. Ocampos M
21 Óliver Torres M
25 Bryan Gil M
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (11)
7 Suso
17 E. Lamela
2 G. Montiel
24 P. Gómez
4 K. Rekik
43 Manu Bueno
12 Rafa Mir
31 Alberto Flores
1 M. Dmitrović
3 Alex Telles
38 Diego Hormigo

Coach: Mendilibar

Juventus

3-5-1-1
1 W. Szczęsny G
15 F. Gatti D
3 Bremer D
6 Danilo D
11 J. Cuadrado M
44 N. Fagioli M
5 M. Locatelli M
25 A. Rabiot M
43 S. Iling-Junior M
22 Á. Di María F
18 M. Kean F
Bench (11)
32 L. Paredes
7 F. Chiesa
9 D. Vlahović
20 F. Miretti
17 F. Kostić
14 A. Milik
42 T. Barbieri
24 D. Rugani
12 Alex Sandro
36 M. Perin
23 C. Pinsoglio

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.