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Conference League
Referee: I Bebek
Fiorentina
T S T S T
5–1
Full-time
Hearts
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Conference League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

69% Possession 31%
16 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Oct -22 Hearts – Fiorentina 0–3

Match report

Fiorentina Hearts
1–0 L. Jović ⚽
C. Biraghi
5′
16′
🔁 T. Sibbick
↦ N. Atkinson
2–0 C. Biraghi ⚽
22′
3–0 N. González ⚽
C. Kouamé
31′
4–0 A. Barák ⚽
C. Kouamé
38′
Half-time 4–0
A. Duncan 🔁
↦ R. Mandragora
46′
R. Saponara 🔁
↦ L. Jović
46′
46′
🔁 C. Smith
↦ J. Grant
46′
🔁 O. Kiomourtzoglou
↦ A. Forrest
47′
⚽ S. Humphrys 4–1
A. Halliday
48′
🟨 Peter Haring
Cristiano Biraghi 🟨
69′
69′
🟨 Toby Sibbick
74′
🔁 L. Shankland
↦ S. Humphrys
75′
🔁 E. Henderson
↦ B. McKay
78′
🟨 Alex Cochrane
5–1 N. González ⚽
79′
A. Bianco 🔁
↦ A. Barák
80′
L. Venuti 🔁
↦ C. Biraghi
80′
Lorenzo Venuti 🟨
85′
87′
🟨 Connor Smith
Arthur Cabral 🔁
↦ C. Kouamé
87′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
95 P. Gollini G
15 A. Terzić D
4 N. Milenković D
98 Igor D
3 C. Biraghi D
72 A. Barák M
34 S. Amrabat M
38 R. Mandragora M
22 N. González F
7 L. Jović F
99 C. Kouamé F
Bench (12)
32 A. Duncan
8 R. Saponara
42 A. Bianco
23 L. Venuti
9 Arthur Cabral
11 J. Ikoné
27 S. Żurkowski
16 L. Ranieri
5 G. Bonaventura
2 Dodô
1 P. Terracciano
14 Y. Maleh

Coach: V. Italiano

Hearts

1 C. Gordon G
12 N. Atkinson D
3 S. Kingsley D
19 A. Cochrane D
16 A. Halliday D
5 P. Haring M
14 C. Devlin M
17 A. Forrest M
7 J. Grant M
18 B. McKay M
29 S. Humphrys F
Bench (9)
21 T. Sibbick
27 C. Smith
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou
9 L. Shankland
22 E. Henderson
28 Z. Clark
39 F. Pollock
13 R. Stewart
45 M. Tait

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.