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Conference League
Referee: António Nobre
Zrinjski
U T S S
1–0
Full-time
FK Tobol Kostanay
U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zrinjski FK Tobol Kostanay
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Corners 3
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Zrinjski FK Tobol Kostanay
28′
🟨 Askhat Tagybergen
Nemanja Bilbija 🟨
31′
Josip Ćorluka 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Sergey Maliy
Josip Ćorluka 🟨
54′
Josip Ćorluka 🟥
54′
I. Jukić 🔁
↦ M. Ćuže
60′
F. Maglica 🔁
↦ K. Memija
60′
K. Kamenar 🔁
↦ S. Ilinkovic
61′
66′
🔁 M. Vukadinović
↦ S. Muzhikov
70′
🔁 A. Zhaksylykov
↦ S. Deblé
1–0 N. Janković ⚽
76′
77′
🔁 Z. Zhumashev
↦ S. Maliy
83′
🟨 Žarko Tomašević
84′
🟥 Žarko Tomašević
N. Mandić 🔁
↦ N. Janković
88′
Nikola Mandić 🟨
91′
94′
🟨 Samat Zharynbetov
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zrinjski

3-4-1-2
22 J. Čondrić G
6 J. Ćorluka D
4 H. Barišić D
70 M. Magdić D
91 M. Tičinović D
40 S. Ilinkovic M
21 I. Savić M
50 K. Memija D
44 N. Janković M
99 N. Bilbija F
25 M. Ćuže F
Bench (12)
7 I. Jukić
23 F. Maglica
88 K. Kamenar
11 N. Mandić
15 F. Sabljić
77 D. Juranović
95 M. Senić
42 D. Stranput
30 P. Sučić
8 D. Zlomislić
17 M. Malekinušić
12 A. Soldo

Coach: S. Jakirović

FK Tobol Kostanay

5-3-2
35 A. Mokin G
14 S. Zharynbetov M
25 S. Maliy D
22 A. Marochkin D
33 Ž. Tomašević D
45 A. Amanović D
8 A. Tagybergen M
29 D. Jovančić M
10 S. Muzhikov M
11 Z. Tošić M
89 S. Deblé F
Bench (7)
21 M. Vukadinović
44 A. Zhaksylykov
20 Z. Zhumashev
3 R. Asrankulov
77 I. Sergeev
88 T. Akmurzin
17 V. Vasiljev

Coach: M. Milanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.