← Match Finder
Europa League
Referee: I Kovacs
Villarreal
U S S T S
3–1
Full-time
Marseille
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Villarreal Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
2,2
3,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
56%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
57%
78%
Both score Ø 55%
43%
67%
Average goals
2,9
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,6
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,74 xG 1,55
64% Possession 36%
25 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Mar -24 Marseille – Villarreal 4–0

Match report

Villarreal Marseille
18′
🟨 Ismaïla Sarr
Francis Coquelin 🟨
19′
1–0 É. Capoue ⚽
Kiko Femenía
32′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Harit
↦ I. Ndiaye
46′
🔁 P. Aubameyang
↦ I. Sarr
48′
🟨 Azzedine Ounahi
Y. Mosquera 🔁
↦ E. Bailly
50′
2–0 A. Sørloth ⚽
Gonçalo Guedes
54′
Alexander Sørloth ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
57′
Álex Baena 🔁
↦ F. Coquelin
66′
69′
🟨 Quentin Merlin
79′
🔁 Luis Henrique
↦ A. Ounahi
84′
🟨 Geoffrey Kondogbia
Santi Comesaña 🔁
↦ É. Capoue
84′
José Luis Morales 🔁
↦ Kiko Femenía
84′
3–0 Y. Mosquera ⚽
Álex Baena
85′
Yerson Mosquera 🟨
92′
Alejandro Baena 🟨
92′
93′
🟨 Pau López
94′
⚽ J. Clauss 3–1
P. Aubameyang
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-3-3
13 F. Jørgensen G
17 Kiko Femenía D
12 E. Bailly D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jorge Cuenca D
6 É. Capoue M
10 Dani Parejo M
19 F. Coquelin M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 A. Sørloth F
9 Gonçalo Guedes F
Bench (8)
2 Y. Mosquera
16 Álex Baena
4 Santi Comesaña
15 José Luis Morales
26 Adrià Alti
27 Ilias Akhomach
14 Manu Trigueros
31 Iker Álvarez

Coach: Marcelino

Marseille

3-5-2
16 Pau López G
18 B. Meïté D
99 C. Mbemba D
5 L. Balerdi D
7 J. Clauss M
8 A. Ounahi M
19 G. Kondogbia M
27 J. Veretout M
3 Q. Merlin M
23 I. Sarr F
29 I. Ndiaye F
Bench (8)
11 A. Harit
10 P. Aubameyang
44 Luis Henrique
39 A. Tunkadi
37 E. Soglo
14 F. Moumbagna
36 Rubén Blanco
20 J. Correa

Coach: J. Gasset

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovacs · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.