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Europa League
Referee: D Siebert
Sp Lisbon
S U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Atalanta
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 69%
88%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,22 xG 1,14
48% Possession 52%
5 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 10
0 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Nov -23 Atalanta – Sp Lisbon 1–1 5. Oct -23 Sp Lisbon – Atalanta 1–2

Match report

Sp Lisbon Atalanta
14′
🟨 Isak Hien
1–0 Paulinho ⚽
Trincão
17′
Marcus Edwards 🟨
36′
39′
⚽ G. Scamacca 1–1
Aleksey Miranchuk
Half-time 1–1
M. Hjulmand 🔁
↦ K. Koindredi
46′
J. St. Juste 🔁
↦ O. Diomande
46′
V. Gyökeres 🔁
↦ M. Edwards
46′
46′
🔁 G. Scalvini
↦ I. Hien
49′
🟨 Giorgio Scalvini
56′
🟨 Berat Djimsiti
Ricardo Esgaio 🔁
↦ Paulinho
68′
72′
🔁 C. De Ketelaere
↦ A. Lookman
72′
🔁 T. Koopmeiners
↦ Aleksey Miranchuk
82′
🔁 E. Touré
↦ G. Scamacca
Daniel Bragança 🔁
↦ H. Morita
84′
90′
🔁 D. Zappacosta
↦ E. Holm
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
12 F. Israel G
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
4 S. Coates D
26 O. Diomande D
21 Geny Catamo M
80 K. Koindredi M
5 H. Morita M
2 Matheus Reis M
10 M. Edwards F
17 Trincão F
20 Paulinho F
Bench (12)
42 M. Hjulmand
3 J. St. Juste
9 V. Gyökeres
47 Ricardo Esgaio
23 Daniel Bragança
11 Nuno Santos
13 Luís Neto
51 Diogo Pinto
57 Geovany Quenda
22 Iván Fresneda
45 Rafael Pontelo
99 Francisco Silva

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Atalanta

3-4-3
1 J. Musso G
19 B. Djimsiti D
4 I. Hien D
23 S. Kolašinac D
3 E. Holm M
13 Éderson M
15 M. de Roon M
22 M. Ruggeri M
59 Aleksey Miranchuk F
90 G. Scamacca F
11 A. Lookman F
Bench (12)
42 G. Scalvini
17 C. De Ketelaere
7 T. Koopmeiners
10 E. Touré
77 D. Zappacosta
29 M. Carnesecchi
40 P. Vismara
8 M. Pašalić
33 H. Hateboer
25 M. Adopo
20 M. Bakker
2 R. Tolói

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.