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Champions League
Referee: S Karabaev
Shkendija
S T T T U
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shkendija The New Saints
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
0,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Shkendija The New Saints
-5′
🟨 Dominic Corness
1–0 F. Tamba
B. Ibraimi
18′
35′
🟨 Ryan Brobbell
38′
J. Williams 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Endrit Krasniqi 🟨
53′
V. Krstevski 🔁
↦ L. Latifi
63′
66′
🔁 H. Godsmark-Ford
↦ K. Craig
66′
🔁 B. Clark
↦ B. Wilson
A. Alhassan 🔁
↦ K. Qaka
72′
F. Ramadani 🔁
↦ E. Krasniqi
72′
80′
🟨 Jack Bodenham
82′
🔁 J. Marshall
↦ D. Redmond
Adamu Alhassan 🟨
91′
99′
🔁 K. Charles
↦ D. Corness
F. Ademi 🔁
↦ F. Tamba
106′
109′
🟨 Nathan Shepperd
1–2 J. Bodenham
own goal
116′
A. Meliqi 🔁
↦ B. Ibraimi
119′
119′
🔁 A. Cieslewicz
↦ J. Williams
119′
🔁 A. Oteh
↦ R. Brobbel
Aleksander Trumci 🟨
122′
122′
🟨 Rory Holden
Vane Krstevski 🟨
124′
125′
🟨 Aramide Oteh
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Shkendija

4-2-3-1
24 B. Gaye G
2 A. Trumci D
15 I. Fetai D
5 K. Cake D
11 R. Webster D
4 R. Ramadani M
28 K. Qaka M
29 F. Tamba F
10 E. Krasniqi M
77 L. Latifi F
7 B. Ibraimi F
Bench (12)
25 A. Amzai
30 F. Ramani
6 A. Alhassan
8 F. Ramadani
9 F. Ademi
16 M. Murati
18 N. Ceka
19 V. Krstevski
22 N. Ajetovikj
26 A. Meliqi
27 L. Kaba
38 A. Nuhija

Coach: Jeton Bekjiri

The New Saints

4-3-3
1 N. Shepperd G
64 K. Craig D
16 H. McGahey D
6 J. Bodenham D
10 D. Redmond D
18 R. Holden M
4 D. Corness M
14 D. Williams M
17 J. Williams F
28 B. Wilson F
8 R. Brobbel M
Bench (12)
30 J. Edwards
2 J. Owen
3 J. Marshall
5 R. Astles
9 K. Charles
11 A. Cieslewicz
12 H. Godsmark-Ford
15 A. Oteh
19 B. Clark
24 J. Nadin
26 L. Phillips
27 J. Canavan

Coach: Craig Harrison

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.