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Champions League
Referee: M Marcenaro
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamrun Spartans FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Hamrun Spartans FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Jovan Čađenović 🟨
14′
S. Thioune 🔁
↦ M. Hadzi
22′
24′
🟨 Vasilije Radenović
1–0 S. Thioune
Rafael Compri
35′
2–0 J. Mbong
41′
Domantas Šimkus 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Salcinovic
↦ G. Matulevicius
67′
🔁 N. Mihajlovic
↦ O. Verbickas
73′
🟨 Dino Salcinovic
M. Garcia 🔁
↦ D. Simkus
79′
81′
🔁 Henrique
↦ Y. Kendysh
81′
🔁 M. Youla
↦ B. Tavares
M. El Fanis 🔁
↦ Ederson
91′
N. Micallef 🔁
↦ J. Mbong
92′
94′
🟨 Nemanja Mihajlović
Ryan Camenzuli 🟨
97′
Jonny 🔁
↦ N. Koffi
100′
Emerson 🔁
↦ Rafael Compri
100′
106′
🔁 K. Lukasevic
↦ K. Hadji
114′
🟨 Vasilije Radenović
114′
🟥 Vasilije Radenović
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hamrun Spartans

4-4-1-1
1 H. Bonello G
2 Rafael Compri D
13 V. Polito D
27 O. Bjelicic M
94 R. Camenzuli M
10 J. Mbong M
20 J. Cadjenovic M
33 D. Simkus M
25 Ederson M
77 M. Hadzi F
19 N. Koffi F
Bench (12)
24 M. Debono
98 Celio
3 N. Micallef
6 D. Letherby
8 M. Garcia
9 S. Thioune
28 R. Mihana
45 J. Djile
47 M. El Fanis
80 Jonny
88 B. Buhagiar
91 Emerson

Coach: Giacomo Modica

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

1 C. Olses G
45 J. Moutachy D
32 V. Radenovic D
6 L. Dumancic D
49 B. Tavares D
22 O. Verbickas M
15 E. Ofori M
17 G. Matulevicius M
7 K. Hadji M
77 Y. Kendysh D
80 L. Antal F
Bench (12)
96 A. Tordai
4 N. Abiam
8 D. Salcinovic
10 Henrique
14 M. Setkus
19 M. Youla
23 M. Chol
25 V. Pavilonis
29 K. Bicka
42 K. Lukasevic
44 P. Matyzonok
71 N. Mihajlovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marcenaro · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.