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Champions League
Referee: José Sánchez
Dortmund
S T U S S
1–1
Full-time
Lille
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/12 matches
Win Ø 59%
60%
58%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
80%
58%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,7
3,1
Scored
2,5
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,26 xG 0,83
43% Possession 57%
7 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 3
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dortmund Lille
1–0 K. Adeyemi ⚽
22′
Half-time 1–0
Emre Can 🟨
61′
M. Beier 🔁
↦ J. Gittens
66′
68′
⚽ H. Haraldsson 1–1
J. David
71′
🔁 M. Fernandez-Pardo
↦ E. Mbappé
77′
🔁 M. Bakker
↦ Ismaily
77′
🔁 André Gomes
↦ N. Mukau
Yan Couto 🔁
↦ J. Ryerson
82′
R. Bensebaini 🔁
↦ D. Svensson
83′
G. Reyna 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
83′
Pascal Groß 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
26 J. Ryerson D
23 E. Can D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
24 D. Svensson D
20 M. Sabitzer M
13 P. Groß M
27 K. Adeyemi M
10 J. Brandt M
43 J. Gittens M
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (9)
14 M. Beier
2 Yan Couto
5 R. Bensebaini
7 G. Reyna
33 A. Meyer
16 J. Duranville
25 N. Süle
6 S. Özcan
3 W. Anton

Coach: N. Kovač

Lille

4-2-3-1
30 L. Chevalier G
12 T. Meunier D
18 B. Diakité D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
31 Ismaily D
21 B. André M
32 A. Bouaddi M
29 E. Mbappé M
17 N. Mukau M
7 H. Haraldsson M
9 J. David F
Bench (12)
19 M. Fernandez-Pardo
20 M. Bakker
26 André Gomes
2 A. Mandi
8 A. Gomes
35 I. Cossier
47 Y. Lachaab
1 V. Mannone
16 M. Caillard
5 G. Gudmundsson
10 R. Cabella
24 C. Akpom

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.