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Eliteserien

Referee: Espen Eskas

Aalesund

T S S T T

2–2

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

2,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 36%

24%

48%

Points per game

0,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

52%

38%

Both score Ø 34%

48%

19%

Average goals

3,0

2,1

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 15. · Sarpsborg 08 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	21	15	5	1	+32	50
2	Odd	21	11	5	5	+8	38
3	Brann	21	11	4	6	+11	37
4	Haugesund	21	10	5	6	+4	35
5	Sarpsborg 08	21	10	5	6	+1	35
6	Stromsgodset	21	10	4	7	+7	34
7	Molde	21	10	4	7	+4	34
8	Viking	21	9	4	8	-3	31
9	Sogndal	21	6	9	6	-1	27
10	Valerenga	21	7	4	10	-1	25
11	Tromso	21	6	6	9	-6	24
12	Lillestrom	21	5	7	9	-4	22
13	Bodo/Glimt	21	5	6	10	-6	21
14	Stabaek	21	5	5	11	-5	20
15	Aalesund	21	5	4	12	-16	19
16	Start	21	0	9	12	-25	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	10	0	0	+25	30
2	Stromsgodset	11	8	3	0	+15	27
3	Brann	10	8	2	0	+16	26
4	Molde	11	7	2	2	+12	23
5	Haugesund	10	6	3	1	+11	21
6	Sarpsborg 08	11	6	3	2	+8	21
7	Odd	11	6	3	2	+7	21
8	Valerenga	11	5	2	4	+7	17
9	Lillestrom	11	4	3	4	+4	15
10	Sogndal	10	3	5	2	+1	14
11	Aalesund	10	3	3	4	+2	12
12	Tromso	10	3	3	4	+0	12
13	Viking	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Bodo/Glimt	11	3	3	5	-3	12
15	Stabaek	10	3	1	6	-3	10
16	Start	11	0	4	7	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	11	5	5	1	+7	20
2	Viking	11	6	1	4	-2	19
3	Odd	10	5	2	3	+1	17
4	Haugesund	11	4	2	5	-7	14
5	Sarpsborg 08	10	4	2	4	-7	14
6	Sogndal	11	3	4	4	-2	13
7	Tromso	11	3	3	5	-6	12
8	Brann	11	3	2	6	-5	11
9	Molde	10	3	2	5	-8	11
10	Stabaek	11	2	4	5	-2	10
11	Bodo/Glimt	10	2	3	5	-3	9
12	Valerenga	10	2	2	6	-8	8
13	Lillestrom	10	1	4	5	-8	7
14	Stromsgodset	10	2	1	7	-8	7
15	Aalesund	11	2	1	8	-18	7
16	Start	10	0	5	5	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.