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Ligue 1

Referee: Antony Gautier

Marseille

S S U U T

2–0

Full-time

Lorient

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

4,0

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 0

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 16. · Lorient 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Nice	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Lille	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Caen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Metz	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Marseille	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Angers	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Nancy	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Metz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Caen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Metz	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.