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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Bayern Munich
T T T S U
3–0
Full-time
Lazio
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 64%
71%
57%
Points per game
2,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
57%
29%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,57 xG 0,42
60% Possession 40%
24 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 0
9 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Feb -24 Lazio – Bayern Munich 1–0

Match report

Bayern Munich Lazio
1–0 H. Kane ⚽
Raphaël Guerreiro
39′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 T. Müller ⚽
M. de Ligt
47′
61′
🔁 D. Cataldi
↦ M. Vecino
61′
🔁 V. Castellanos
↦ C. Immobile
61′
🔁 G. Isaksen
↦ M. Zaccagni
3–0 H. Kane ⚽
66′
75′
🔁 Pedro
↦ Felipe Anderson
A. Davies 🔁
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
78′
M. Tel 🔁
↦ T. Müller
78′
80′
🟨 Alessio Romagnoli
80′
🔁 D. Kamada
↦ Luis Alberto
89′
🟨 Danilo Cataldi
K. Laimer 🔁
↦ L. Sané
89′
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
91′
92′
🟨 Luca Pellegrini
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
6 J. Kimmich D
4 M. de Ligt D
15 E. Dier D
22 Raphaël Guerreiro D
45 A. Pavlović M
8 L. Goretzka M
10 L. Sané M
25 T. Müller M
42 J. Musiala M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
19 A. Davies
39 M. Tel
27 K. Laimer
7 S. Gnabry
17 Bryan Zaragoza
26 S. Ulreich
3 Kim Min-Jae
13 E. Choupo-Moting
18 Daniel Peretz

Coach: T. Tuchel

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
77 A. Marušić D
34 Mario Gila D
13 A. Romagnoli D
3 L. Pellegrini D
8 M. Guendouzi M
5 M. Vecino M
10 Luis Alberto M
7 Felipe Anderson F
17 C. Immobile F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (12)
32 D. Cataldi
19 V. Castellanos
18 G. Isaksen
9 Pedro
6 D. Kamada
29 M. Lazzari
56 L. Napolitano
60 F. Ruggeri
15 N. Casale
33 L. Sepe
53 F. Magro
23 E. Hysaj

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.