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Champions League
Referee: L Pairetto
Ludogorets
T T S T T
4–0
Full-time
Ballkani
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Ballkani
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

8 Corners 0
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Jul -23 Ballkani – Ludogorets 2–0

Match report

Ludogorets Ballkani
1–0 B. Tekpetey
4′
2–0 B. Tekpetey
A. Witry
45′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 M. Tissera
49′
Marcel Heister 🟨
51′
56′
🔁 A. Kryeziu
↦ A. Thaçi
Franco Russo 🟨
59′
59′
🟨 Almir Kryeziu
Claude Gonçalves 🟨
69′
Caio Vidal 🔁
↦ B. Tekpetey
70′
Pedro Naressi 🔁
↦ D. Yankov
70′
75′
🔁 B. Tolaj
↦ N. Gripshi
75′
🔁 A. Potoku
↦ Q. Zyba
75′
🔁 A. Berisha
↦ E. Kuč
O. Verdon 🔁
↦ K. Despodov
76′
S. Delev 🔁
↦ M. Tissera
76′
4–0 Caio Vidal
S. Delev
78′
Caio Vidal 🟨
79′
I. Yordanov 🔁
↦ J. Piotrowski
83′
89′
🔁 Y. Marc-Olivier
↦ A. Rrahmani
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
16 A. Witry D
32 I. Plastun D
22 F. Russo D
44 M. Heister D
64 D. Yankov M
6 J. Piotrowski M
8 Claude Gonçalves M
37 B. Tekpetey F
10 M. Tissera F
11 K. Despodov M
Bench (12)
77 Caio Vidal
30 Pedro Naressi
24 O. Verdon
90 S. Delev
82 I. Yordanov
68 U. Habil
88 T. Nedelev
18 Raí
2 Pipa
5 G. Terziev
20 Nonato
12 S. Sluga

Coach: I. Petev

Ballkani

4-3-3
1 E. Koliçi G
2 A. Thaçi D
5 L. Dellova D
32 B. Jashanica D
19 L. Trashi M
6 L. Emërllahu M
20 E. Kuč M
11 Q. Zyba M
7 M. Korenica M
9 A. Rrahmani F
10 N. Gripshi M
Bench (12)
98 A. Kryeziu
99 B. Tolaj
3 A. Potoku
80 A. Berisha
14 Y. Marc-Olivier
4 G. Halili
18 L. Shala
25 V. Tusha
23 R. Ramadani
92 D. Ljuljanović
12 A. Hoxha
88 A. Halitjaha

Coach: I. Daja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.