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Champions League
Referee: Carlos del Cerro
Inter
T U U S T
3–3
Full-time
Benfica
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/13 matches
Win Ø 67%
56%
77%
Points per game
1,9
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
22%
54%
Both score Ø 37%
11%
62%
Average goals
2,2
3,6
Scored
1,4
2,7
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,20 xG 0,68
40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Apr -23 Benfica – Inter 0–2

Match report

Inter Benfica
1–0 N. Barella ⚽
Lautaro Martínez
14′
38′
⚽ F. Aursnes 1–1
Rafa
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 David Neres
↦ Gilberto
49′
🟨 Rafa Silva
2–1 Lautaro Martínez ⚽
F. Dimarco
65′
74′
🔁 Gonçalo Guedes
↦ Gonçalo Ramos
R. Lukaku 🔁
↦ E. Džeko
76′
H. Çalhanoğlu 🔁
↦ N. Barella
76′
J. Correa 🔁
↦ Lautaro Martínez
76′
3–1 J. Correa ⚽
F. Dimarco
78′
R. Gosens 🔁
↦ F. Dimarco
80′
D. D'Ambrosio 🔁
↦ A. Bastoni
80′
80′
🔁 P. Musa
↦ Chiquinho
80′
🔁 João Neves
↦ Rafa
81′
🟨 Petar Musa
86′
⚽ António Silva 3–2
Álex Grimaldo
89′
🔁 A. Schjelderup
↦ João Mário
95′
🟨 David Neres
95′
⚽ P. Musa 3–3
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
24 A. Onana G
36 M. Darmian D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
77 M. Brozović M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (12)
90 R. Lukaku
20 H. Çalhanoğlu
11 J. Correa
8 R. Gosens
33 D. D'Ambrosio
21 A. Cordaz
12 R. Bellanova
6 S. de Vrij
1 S. Handanovič
14 K. Asllani
5 R. Gagliardini
45 V. Carboni

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Benfica

4-2-3-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
2 Gilberto D
66 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
61 Florentino M
22 Chiquinho M
20 João Mário M
27 Rafa M
8 F. Aursnes M
88 Gonçalo Ramos F
Bench (12)
7 David Neres
15 Gonçalo Guedes
33 P. Musa
87 João Neves
21 A. Schjelderup
23 M. Ristić
91 Morato
73 C. Ndour
75 André Gomes
24 Samuel Soares
19 C. Tengstedt
4 Lucas Veríssimo

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Carlos del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.