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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Benfica
S S S S T
0–2
Full-time
Inter
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
2,8
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
58%
25%
Both score Ø 40%
67%
13%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,9
1,4
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+2,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,79 xG 1,71
58% Possession 42%
12 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Benfica Inter
-5′
🟨 Edin Džeko
António Silva 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Marcelo Brozović
51′
⚽ N. Barella 0–1
A. Bastoni
63′
🔁 R. Gosens
↦ F. Dimarco
63′
🔁 R. Lukaku
↦ E. Džeko
63′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ Lautaro Martínez
David Neres 🔁
↦ Florentino
64′
81′
ℹ️ Denzel Dumfries
VAR: Penalty confirmed
82′
⚽ R. Lukaku 0–2
87′
🔁 D. D'Ambrosio
↦ D. Dumfries
91′
🔁 S. de Vrij
↦ A. Bastoni
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
2 Gilberto D
66 António Silva D
91 Morato D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
61 Florentino M
22 Chiquinho M
20 João Mário M
27 Rafa M
8 F. Aursnes M
88 Gonçalo Ramos F
Bench (12)
7 David Neres
15 Gonçalo Guedes
33 P. Musa
19 C. Tengstedt
24 Samuel Soares
75 André Gomes
71 João Tomé
21 A. Schjelderup
87 João Neves
73 C. Ndour
4 Lucas Veríssimo
65 Rafael Rodrigues

Coach: R. Schmidt

Inter

3-5-2
24 A. Onana G
36 M. Darmian D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
77 M. Brozović M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (12)
8 R. Gosens
90 R. Lukaku
11 J. Correa
33 D. D'Ambrosio
6 S. de Vrij
12 R. Bellanova
1 S. Handanovič
14 K. Asllani
21 A. Cordaz
5 R. Gagliardini
45 V. Carboni
46 M. Zanotti

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.