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Champions League
Referee: H Meler
Benfica
U S S S S
5–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,3
This season — Champions League · 11/7 matches
Win Ø 63%
82%
43%
Points per game
2,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
55%
29%
Both score Ø 32%
64%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,9
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,47 xG 1,00
60% Possession 40%
20 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
3 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -23 Club Brugge – Benfica 0–2

Match report

Benfica Club Brugge
João Mário ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
3′
17′
🟨 Roman Yaremchuk
20′
🟨 Noa Lang
Nicolás Otamendi 🟨
29′
1–0 Rafa ⚽
Gonçalo Ramos
38′
43′
🟨 Abakar Sylla
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Onyedika
↦ N. Lang
2–0 Gonçalo Ramos ⚽
João Mário
47′
48′
🟨 Bjorn Meijer
3–0 Gonçalo Ramos ⚽
Álex Grimaldo
57′
62′
🔁 Ferran Jutglà
↦ R. Yaremchuk
62′
🔁 D. Odoi
↦ Clinton Mata
David Neres 🔁
↦ Chiquinho
63′
Gilberto 🔁
↦ A. Bah
63′
4–0 João Mário ⚽
71′
Morato 🔁
↦ N. Otamendi
74′
João Neves 🔁
↦ João Mário
74′
74′
🔁 M. Rits
↦ H. Vanaken
75′
🔁 A. Nusa
↦ K. Sowah
5–0 David Neres ⚽
João Neves
77′
David Neres ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
78′
87′
⚽ B. Meijer 5–1
T. Buchanan
Lucas Veríssimo 🔁
↦ António Silva
88′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
6 A. Bah D
66 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
61 Florentino M
22 Chiquinho M
20 João Mário M
27 Rafa M
8 F. Aursnes M
88 Gonçalo Ramos F
Bench (12)
7 David Neres
2 Gilberto
91 Morato
87 João Neves
4 Lucas Veríssimo
73 C. Ndour
21 A. Schjelderup
65 Rafael Rodrigues
19 C. Tengstedt
15 Gonçalo Guedes
24 Samuel Soares
33 P. Musa

Coach: R. Schmidt

Club Brugge

3-5-2
22 S. Mignolet G
77 Clinton Mata D
44 B. Mechele D
94 A. Sylla D
19 K. Sowah M
17 T. Buchanan M
27 C. Nielsen M
20 H. Vanaken M
14 B. Meijer M
70 R. Yaremchuk F
10 N. Lang F
Bench (9)
15 R. Onyedika
9 Ferran Jutglà
6 D. Odoi
26 M. Rits
32 A. Nusa
98 C. Sandra
68 C. Talbi
28 D. Boyata
21 J. Bursik

Coach: S. Parker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.