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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Man City
U S S S S
7–0
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
2,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
2,1
2,0
Conceded
0,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

4,24 xG 0,56
67% Possession 33%
23 Shots 4
16 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Feb -23 RB Leipzig – Man City 1–1

Match report

Man City RB Leipzig
21′
🟨 Benjamin Henrichs
1–0 E. Haaland ⚽
22′
2–0 E. Haaland ⚽
24′
34′
🟨 Timo Werner
Half-time 3–0
3–0 E. Haaland ⚽
47′
4–0 İ. Gündoğan ⚽
J. Grealish
49′
5–0 E. Haaland ⚽
53′
R. Mahrez 🔁
↦ İ. Gündoğan
55′
P. Foden 🔁
↦ J. Grealish
55′
6–0 E. Haaland ⚽
57′
62′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ T. Werner
62′
🔁 André Silva
↦ E. Forsberg
J. Álvarez 🔁
↦ E. Haaland
63′
63′
🔁 M. Simakan
↦ A. Haidara
Sergio Gómez 🔁
↦ J. Stones
64′
K. Phillips 🔁
↦ Rodri
64′
Kevin De Bruyne 🟨
67′
72′
🔁 Dani Olmo
↦ D. Szoboszlai
Manuel Akanji 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 L. Klostermann
↦ B. Henrichs
7–0 K. De Bruyne ⚽
R. Mahrez
92′
Full-time 7–0

Line-ups

Man City

3-2-4-1
31 Ederson G
25 M. Akanji D
3 Rúben Dias D
6 N. Aké D
5 J. Stones M
16 Rodri M
20 Bernardo Silva F
17 K. De Bruyne M
8 İ. Gündoğan M
10 J. Grealish F
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (12)
26 R. Mahrez
47 P. Foden
19 J. Álvarez
21 Sergio Gómez
4 K. Phillips
14 Aymeric Laporte
82 R. Lewis
33 S. Carson
32 M. Perrone
2 K. Walker
18 S. Ortega
80 C. Palmer

Coach: Pep Guardiola

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
21 J. Blaswich G
39 B. Henrichs D
4 W. Orbán D
32 J. Gvardiol D
22 D. Raum D
8 A. Haidara M
44 K. Kampl M
27 K. Laimer M
10 E. Forsberg M
17 D. Szoboszlai M
11 T. Werner F
Bench (9)
9 Y. Poulsen
19 André Silva
2 M. Simakan
7 Dani Olmo
16 L. Klostermann
13 Ø. Nyland
25 S. Ba
23 M. Halstenberg
34 J. Nickisch

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.