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DBU Pokalen

Referee: I Huseen Umar

BSF

1–0

Full-time

Karlslunde

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

BSF Karlslunde

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

5,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+5,0

+2,0

This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

5,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+5,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match BSF 25. · Karlslunde 30. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Middelfart	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Vejle	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+7	6
9	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	FC Helsingor	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Fremad Amager	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
19	Brabrand	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Kerteminde	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Aarhus	1	1	0	0	+8	3
22	Ringkøbing	2	1	0	1	+7	3
23	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
24	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
25	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
26	Tårnby FF	2	1	0	1	+3	3
27	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Karlslunde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Frem	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	FC Nakskov	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Kastrup	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	SfB-Oure	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	Marienlyst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	Tuse	2	1	0	1	-4	3
47	Viby	2	1	0	1	-5	3
48	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
49	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	SGI	2	0	1	1	-1	1
53	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
54	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
90	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
91	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
92	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
93	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
94	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
95	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
14	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Kerteminde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	SGI	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Brønshøj	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
53	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
54	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
55	Viby	1	0	0	1	-7	0
56	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
57	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
58	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
59	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Vejle	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
15	Brabrand	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
17	Aarhus	1	1	0	0	+8	3
18	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
19	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+7	3
20	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
21	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
22	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Tårnby FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Karlslunde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Kastrup	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Kerteminde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Tuse	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

BSF Karlslunde

44′

🟨 P. Christensen

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 R. Hansen

↦ L. Saidi

47′

🟨 M. Andersen

59′

🟨 R. Hansen

62′

🔁 F. Bidstrup Knudsen

↦ M. Fahlen

62′

🔁 S. Raahave

↦ N. Bengtson

J. Vestergaard 🔁

↦ S. Stampe

65′

72′

🟨 F. Bidstrup Knudsen

A. Merdzani 🔁

↦ M. Rajović

77′

1–0 A. Vilberg ⚽

82′

89′

🟨 M. Moesgaard

R. Thomsen 🟨

92′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

BSF

13 K. Vilfort

4 M. Randrup

21 M. Christensen

3 M. Rajović

25 H. Abdulovski

5 A. Haugaard

8 A. Petersen

24 S. Stampe

9 A. Vilberg

11 R. Brøns

20 N. Petersen

Bench (4)

18 J. Vestergaard

6 A. Merdzani

17 T. Buch

23 T. Wendt

Coach: C. Jørgensen

Karlslunde

20 P. Christensen

3 R. Jensen

5 M. Moestrup

11 M. Moesgård

17 E. Welcher

21 L. Saidi

18 M. Fahlen

19 A. Steinlein

9 M. Andersen

8 R. Svendsen

23 N. Bengtson

Bench (7)

2 R. Hansen

7 F. Bidstrup Knudsen

24 S. Raahave

1 M. Nonboe

12 L. Larsson

13 S. Larsen

16 N. Adler Nielsen

Coach: H. Johannesen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

4. Aug POK 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

BSF

Karlslunde

Odds comparison

Recent matches