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Champions League
Referee: Carlos del Cerro
Ferencvarosi TC
U S T S U
1–3
Full-time
Qarabag
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferencvarosi TC Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 8
5 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Aug -22 Qarabag – Ferencvarosi TC 1–1

Match report

Ferencvarosi TC Qarabag
7′
⚽ A. Zoubir 0–1
Kady
Rasmus Thelander 🟨
30′
31′
🟨 Marko Janković
Franck Boli 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
M. Knoester 🔁
↦ A. Kovačević
51′
B. Vécsei 🔁
↦ A. Esiti
51′
54′
⚽ I. Wadji 0–2
Kady
58′
🔁 R. Almeyda
↦ M. Janković
R. Mmaee 🔁
↦ F. Boli
61′
62′
🟨 Toral Bayramov
78′
⚽ I. Wadji 0–3
R. Şeydayev
81′
🔁 O. Kwabena
↦ I. Wadji
Endre Botka 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Ramil Sheydaev
Marquinhos 🔁
↦ T. Nguen
84′
L. Pászka 🔁
↦ E. Ćivić
84′
86′
🔁 Júlio Romão
↦ Q. Qarayev
86′
🔁 Leandro Andrade
↦ A. Zoubir
1–3 A. Traoré ⚽
Marquinhos
86′
91′
🟨 Leandro Andrade
93′
🟨 Marko Vešović
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC

4-2-3-1
90 D. Dibusz G
21 E. Botka D
15 A. Kovačević D
25 R. Thelander D
17 E. Ćivić D
13 A. Esiti M
93 A. Laïdouni M
16 K. Zachariassen M
10 T. Nguen F
20 A. Traoré M
70 F. Boli F
Bench (11)
4 M. Knoester
19 B. Vécsei
8 R. Mmaee
50 Marquinhos
23 L. Pászka
28 C. Auzqui
76 K. Lisztes
1 Á. Bogdán
61 S. Mergl
44 S. Lončar
5 M. Bešić

Coach: S. Cherchesov

Qarabag

4-2-1-3
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
55 B. Hüseynov D
27 T. Bayramov D
2 Q. Qarayev M
8 M. Janković M
20 Kady M
77 R. Şeydayev F
25 I. Wadji F
10 A. Zoubir M
Bench (11)
7 R. Almeyda
11 O. Kwabena
6 Júlio Romão
15 Leandro Andrade
23 L. Gugeshashvili
22 M. Qurbanlı
19 F. Ozobić
89 A. Ramazanov
44 E. Cəfərquliyev
4 R. Məmmədov
30 A. Hüseynov

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Carlos del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.