← Match Finder
FA Cup
Ramsbottom United
U
2–0
Full-time
Thackley
U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Ramsbottom United Thackley
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — FA Cup · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

The table before the match Ramsbottom United 222. · Thackley 221. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ilfracombe Town 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Ashford Town (Middlesex) 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Leighton Town 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 Trafford 1 1 0 0 +6 3
5 Stourport Swifts 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 St Neots Town 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Moneyfields 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Sevenoaks Town 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Witham Town 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Wincanton Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Wisbech Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Studley 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Loughborough University 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Hanley Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Kimberley Miners Welfare 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Heybridge Swifts 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Chichester City 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Congleton Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 Badshot Lea 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Hamworthy United 1 1 0 0 +4 3
21 Sheffield 1 1 0 0 +4 3
22 Flackwell Heath 1 1 0 0 +4 3
23 Gorleston 1 1 0 0 +4 3
24 Avro 1 1 0 0 +4 3
25 Lancing 1 1 0 0 +4 3
26 Erith Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
27 Bury Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
28 Tividale 1 1 0 0 +4 3
29 Romford 1 1 0 0 +3 3
30 Baffins Milton Rovers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
31 Bishop's Cleeve 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 Larkhall Athletic 1 1 0 0 +3 3
33 Waltham Abbey 1 1 0 0 +3 3
34 Goole 1 1 0 0 +3 3
35 Ilford 1 1 0 0 +3 3
36 Midhurst & Easebourne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
37 Knaphill 1 1 0 0 +3 3
38 Shefford Town & Campton 1 1 0 0 +3 3
39 Shepton Mallet 1 1 0 0 +3 3
40 Lye Town 1 1 0 0 +3 3
41 Stansfeld 1 1 0 0 +3 3
42 Stocksbridge Park Steels 1 1 0 0 +3 3
43 Three Bridges 1 1 0 0 +3 3
44 Hanworth Villa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
45 Brantham Athletic 1 1 0 0 +3 3
46 Bugbrooke St Michaels 1 1 0 0 +3 3
47 Tooting & Mitcham United 1 1 0 0 +3 3
48 Godmanchester Rovers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
49 Beckenham Town 1 1 0 0 +3 3
50 Leverstock Green 1 1 0 0 +3 3
51 North Ferriby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
52 Lichfield City 1 1 0 0 +3 3
53 Kidlington 1 1 0 0 +2 3
54 Tilbury 1 1 0 0 +2 3
55 Cinderford Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
56 Bridlington Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
57 Enfield 1893 1 1 0 0 +2 3
58 Newmarket Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
59 Fareham Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
60 Newport Isle of Wight FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
61 Phoenix Sports 1 1 0 0 +2 3
62 Roman Glass St George 1 1 0 0 +2 3
63 Sunderland RCA 1 1 0 0 +2 3
64 Kendal Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
65 Chipping Sodbury Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
66 Littlehampton Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
67 Wolverhampton Casuals 1 1 0 0 +2 3
68 Reading City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
69 Westfield (Surrey) 1 1 0 0 +2 3
70 AFC Kempston Rovers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
71 Ossett United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
72 Dunstable Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
73 Penistone Church 1 1 0 0 +2 3
74 Lymington Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
75 Newcastle Benfield 1 1 0 0 +2 3
76 West Allotment Celtic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
77 Romulus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
78 Whitchurch Alport 1 1 0 0 +2 3
79 Aylesbury United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
80 AFC Portchester 1 1 0 0 +2 3
81 Skegness Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
82 Macclesfield 1 1 0 0 +2 3
83 Andover New Street 1 1 0 0 +2 3
84 FC Romania 1 1 0 0 +2 3
85 Glebe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
86 Horndean 1 1 0 0 +1 3
87 Ardley United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
88 Ashington AFC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
89 North Greenford United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
90 Blackfield & Langley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
91 Crawley Down Gatwick 1 1 0 0 +1 3
92 Lincoln United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
93 Harefield United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
94 Aylesbury Vale Dynamos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
95 Potton United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
96 Rusthall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
97 Brixham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
98 Whitton United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
99 Seaham Red Star 1 1 0 0 +1 3
100 Market Drayton Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
101 Ascot United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
102 Dereham Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
103 Tunbridge Wells 1 1 0 0 +1 3
104 Northwood 1 1 0 0 +1 3
105 Willand Rovers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
106 Colne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
107 Leicester Road 1 1 0 0 +1 3
108 Spalding United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
109 AFC Stoneham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
110 Newcastle Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
111 Atherstone Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
112 Brimscombe & Thrupp 1 1 0 0 +1 3
113 Guildford City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
114 Buckland Athletic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
115 Clevedon Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
116 Eastbourne Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
117 Harpenden Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
118 Fakenham Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
119 Malvern Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
120 Sheringham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
121 North Shields 1 1 0 0 +1 3
122 Punjab United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
123 Racing Club Warwick 1 1 0 0 +1 3
124 Takeley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
125 Skelmersdale United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
126 Northwich Victoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
127 Helston Athletic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
128 Slimbridge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
129 Carlisle City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
130 West Essex 1 1 0 0 +1 3
131 Westbury United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
132 St. Panteleimon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
133 Clacton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
134 Buckhurst Hill 1 1 0 0 +1 3
135 Falmouth Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
136 Edgware Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
137 Whickham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
138 Chatham Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
139 Stansted 1 1 0 0 +1 3
140 Bideford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
141 AFC Mansfield 1 1 0 0 +1 3
142 East Grinstead Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
143 Glossop North End 1 1 0 0 +1 3
144 Colliers Wood United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
145 Boldmere St. Michaels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
146 Bedworth United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
147 Cowes Sports 1 1 0 0 +1 3
148 Pontefract Collieries 1 1 0 0 +1 3
149 Bishop Auckland 1 1 0 0 +1 3
150 Mildenhall Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
151 Handsworth Parramore 1 1 0 0 +1 3
152 Hassocks 1 1 0 0 +1 3
153 West Didsbury & Chorlton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
154 Quorn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
155 Sheerwater 1 1 0 0 +1 3
156 Silsden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
157 Southend Manor 1 1 0 0 +1 3
158 Sutton Athletic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
159 Hythe Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
160 Virginia Water 1 1 0 0 +1 3
161 Heaton Stannington 1 1 0 0 +1 3
162 Ipswich Wanderers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
163 Holyport 1 1 0 0 +1 3
164 United Services 1 1 0 0 +1 3
165 Burnham 2 0 2 0 +0 2
166 Easington Sports 2 0 2 0 +0 2
167 Bearsted 1 0 1 0 +0 1
168 Spelthorne Sports 1 0 1 0 +0 1
169 Thetford Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
170 Soham Town Rangers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
171 Westfields 1 0 1 0 +0 1
172 Rugby Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
173 Daventry Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
174 Worcester Raiders 1 0 1 0 +0 1
175 Alresford Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
176 Laverstock & Ford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
177 Cadbury Heath 1 0 1 0 +0 1
178 Mangotsfield United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
179 Coventry United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
180 Highgate United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
181 Deal Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
182 Egham Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
183 Melton Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
184 Pinchbeck United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
185 Peacehaven & Telscombe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
186 AFC Croydon Athletic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
187 Sherwood Colliery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
188 Long Eaton United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
189 Stotfold 1 0 1 0 +0 1
190 Newport Pagnell Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
191 Walton & Hersham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
192 Kennington 1 0 1 0 +0 1
193 Yorkshire Amateur 1 0 1 0 +0 1
194 Charnock Richard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
195 Barnstaple Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
196 Mousehole 1 0 1 0 +0 1
197 Didcot Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
198 Shrivenham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
199 Barton Rovers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
200 Arlesey Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
201 Hertford Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
202 Colney Heath 1 0 1 0 +0 1
203 Prescot Cables 1 0 1 0 +0 1
204 Ashton Athletic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
205 Tadcaster Albion 1 0 1 0 +0 1
206 Tow Law Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
207 Anstey Nomads 1 0 1 0 +0 1
208 Radford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
209 Barnoldswick Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
210 Albion Sports 1 0 1 0 +0 1
211 Bottesford Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
212 Barton Town Old Boys 1 0 1 0 +0 1
213 Canterbury City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
214 Newhaven 1 0 1 0 +0 1
215 Leicester Nirvana 1 0 1 0 +0 1
216 Selston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
217 Raynes Park Vale 1 0 1 0 +0 1
218 Erith & Belvedere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
219 Royal Wootton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
220 Windsor 1 0 1 0 +0 1
221 Thackley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
222 Ramsbottom United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
223 Winsford United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
224 Widnes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
225 Cogenhoe United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
226 Stone Old Alleynians 1 0 1 0 +0 1
227 Torpoint Athletic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
228 Millbrook 1 0 1 0 +0 1
229 Prestwich Heys 1 0 1 0 +0 1
230 Litherland Remyca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
231 Whitehawk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
232 K Sports 1 0 1 0 +0 1
233 Coggeshall Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
234 Barking 1 0 1 0 +0 1
235 Boston United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
236 Harborough Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
237 Desborough Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
238 Histon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
239 Fisher 1 0 1 0 +0 1
240 Sutton Common Rovers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
241 Haverhill Rovers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
242 Mulbarton Wanderers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
243 Shepshed Dynamo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
244 Winterton Rangers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
245 Southall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
246 Redhill 1 0 1 0 +0 1
247 Hallam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
248 Bury AFC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
249 Sherborne Town 2 0 1 1 -2 1
250 Holmesdale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
251 Thatcham Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
252 Wokingham Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
253 Newton Aycliffe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
254 Bexhill United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
255 Christchurch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
256 Crowborough Athletic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
257 Grimsby Borough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
258 Lordswood 1 0 0 1 -1 0
259 Longlevens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
260 Norwich United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
261 Loxwood 1 0 0 1 -1 0
262 Tavistock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
263 Wellingborough Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
264 Redcar Athletic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
265 Shifnal Town FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
266 Cribbs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
267 Wroxham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
268 Chipstead 1 0 0 1 -1 0
269 South Park 1 0 0 1 -1 0
270 Wellington AFC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
271 1874 Northwich 1 0 0 1 -1 0
272 Evesham United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
273 Deeping Rangers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
274 Bashley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
275 AFC Wulfrunians 1 0 0 1 -1 0
276 Gresley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
277 Fairford Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
278 Broadfields United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
279 Exmouth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
280 Chalfont St Peter 1 0 0 1 -1 0
281 Steyning Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
282 New Salamis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
283 Kirkley & Pakefield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
284 Worcester City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
285 March Town United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
286 Knaresborough Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
287 Balham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
288 Bewdley Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
289 Redbridge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
290 Padiham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
291 Squires Gate 1 0 0 1 -1 0
292 Street 1 0 0 1 -1 0
293 Tuffley Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
294 West Auckland Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
295 Crawley Green 1 0 0 1 -1 0
296 Bournemouth FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
297 White Ensign 1 0 0 1 -1 0
298 Little Oakley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
299 Walthamstow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
300 Saltash United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
301 Hoddesdon Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
302 Frickley Athletic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
303 Little Common 1 0 0 1 -1 0
304 Hadley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
305 Bridgwater Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
306 Corby Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
307 Hollands & Blair 1 0 0 1 -1 0
308 AFC Emley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
309 Faversham Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
310 Walsall Wood 1 0 0 1 -1 0
311 Coventry Sphinx 1 0 0 1 -1 0
312 Hamble Club 1 0 0 1 -1 0
313 Garforth Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
314 Guisborough Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
315 Hadleigh United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
316 Sleaford Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
317 Lingfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
318 Longridge Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
319 Maltby Main 1 0 0 1 -1 0
320 Banstead Athletic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
321 Burscough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
322 Cockfosters 1 0 0 1 -1 0
323 Welling Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
324 Varndeanians 1 0 0 1 -1 0
325 Hilltop 1 0 0 1 -1 0
326 Pickering Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
327 Yaxley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
328 Risborough Rangers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
329 Welton Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
330 Lydney Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
331 Milton Keynes Irish 1 0 0 1 -2 0
332 Bitton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
333 Whitley Bay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
334 Hullbridge Sports 1 0 0 1 -2 0
335 Eynesbury Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
336 Hythe & Dibden 1 0 0 1 -2 0
337 Fleet Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
338 Oxhey Jets 1 0 0 1 -2 0
339 Tring Athletic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
340 Hebburn Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
341 Thornaby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
342 Thornbury Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
343 Broadbridge Heath 1 0 0 1 -2 0
344 Hinckley AFC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
345 Highworth Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
346 Eastbourne United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
347 Long Melford 1 0 0 1 -2 0
348 New Mills 1 0 0 1 -2 0
349 Great Wakering Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
350 Lower Breck 1 0 0 1 -2 0
351 Portland United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
352 Crook Town AFC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
353 Penrith AFC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
354 Sutton Coldfield Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
355 Vauxhall Motors 1 0 0 1 -2 0
356 Ashton & Backwell United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
357 Corsham Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
358 Loughborough Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
359 Wythenshawe Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
360 Warminster Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
361 London Lions 1 0 0 1 -2 0
362 Saffron Walden Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
363 Alton Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
364 Wantage Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
365 Folland Sports 1 0 0 1 -3 0
366 Woodford Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
367 Consett 1 0 0 1 -3 0
368 Sawbridgeworth Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
369 Uckfield Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
370 Alfold 1 0 0 1 -3 0
371 Stanway Rovers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
372 Liskeard Athletic 1 0 0 1 -3 0
373 Heather St Johns 1 0 0 1 -3 0
374 Wembley 1 0 0 1 -3 0
375 Golcar United 1 0 0 1 -3 0
376 Whitstable Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
377 Abbey Rangers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
378 Basildon United 1 0 0 1 -3 0
379 Long Buckby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
380 Cobham 1 0 0 1 -3 0
381 Rothwell Corinthians 1 0 0 1 -3 0
382 Horsham YMCA 1 0 0 1 -3 0
383 Halstead Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
384 Northallerton Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
385 Belper United 1 0 0 1 -3 0
386 Tadley Calleva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
387 Ely City 1 0 0 1 -4 0
388 Heanor Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
389 Newark Flowserve 1 0 0 1 -4 0
390 Hereford Lads Club 1 0 0 1 -4 0
391 Lutterworth Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
392 Clapton 1 0 0 1 -4 0
393 Frimley Green 1 0 0 1 -4 0
394 Abbey Hey 1 0 0 1 -4 0
395 Brockenhurst 1 0 0 1 -4 0
396 Bradford Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
397 Eccleshill United 1 0 0 1 -4 0
398 Keynsham Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
399 Biggleswade United 1 0 0 1 -4 0
400 Irlam 1 0 0 1 -4 0
401 Roffey 1 0 0 1 -4 0
402 Pagham 1 0 0 1 -4 0
403 Lakenheath 1 0 0 1 -4 0
404 Darlaston Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
405 Walsham Le Willows 1 0 0 1 -5 0
406 Bemerton Heath Harleq. 1 0 0 1 -5 0
407 Horley Town 1 0 0 1 -5 0
408 London Colney 1 0 0 1 -5 0
409 AFC Liverpool 1 0 0 1 -6 0
410 Hereford Pegasus 1 0 0 1 -6 0
411 Baldock Town 1 0 0 1 -7 0
412 Saltdean United 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -22 Thackley – Ramsbottom United 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.