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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Anderlecht
S U U U T
3–3
Full-time
Club Brugge
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 49%
31%
67%
Points per game
1,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
64%
47%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
4 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 9. · Club Brugge 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 36 24 7 5 +48 79
2 Genk 37 20 11 6 +32 71
3 Mechelen 37 19 9 9 +15 66
4 Antwerp 37 19 9 9 +13 66
5 Gent 37 18 7 12 +29 61
6 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
7 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
8 Oostende 37 15 8 14 +3 53
9 Anderlecht 36 11 19 6 +14 52
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
11 Standard 37 13 9 15 -1 48
12 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
13 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Beveren 36 8 8 20 -29 32
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
20 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Club Brugge
13′
H. Vanaken 0–1
C. de Ketelaere
Half-time 0–1
Y. Verschaeren 🔁
↦ J. Bruun Larsen
46′
M. Ashimeru 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
46′
1–1 L. Nmecha
47′
54′
H. Vanaken 1–2
C. de Ketelaere
57′
N. Lang 1–3
R. Vormer
2–3 L. Nmecha
M. Miazga
65′
70′
🟨 E. Balanta
J. Cullen 🔁
↦ A. Trebel
73′
M. Dauda 🔁
73′
L. Nmecha 🟨
76′
B. Mykhaylichenko 🔁
↦ P. Mukairu
85′
86′
🔁 N. Lang
↦ D. Okereke
A. Lokonga 🟨
87′
89′
🔁 C. de Ketelaere
↦ B. Dost
93′
🔁 E. Balanta
↦ M. Mitrovic
3–3 J. Bruun Larsen
M. Murillo
94′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
16 Bart Verbruggen G
62 Michael Murillo D
20 Matthew Miazga D
22 Elias Cobbaut D
14 Bogdan Mykhaylichenko D
48 Albert Sambi Lokonga M
8 Josh Cullen M
46 Anouar Ait El Hadj M
51 Yari Verschaeren M
18 Majeed Ashimeru M
7 Lukas Nmecha F
Bench (7)
1 Timon Wellenreuther
56 Zeno Debast
25 Adrien Trebel
38 Dauda Mohammed
40 Francis Amuzu
11 Jacob Bruun Larsen
12 Paul Omo Mukairu

Coach: V. Kompany

Club Brugge

4-4-2
88 Simon Mignolet G
77 Clinton Mata D
5 Odilon Kossounou D
44 Brandon Mechele D
3 Éder Balanta D
20 Hans Vanaken M
25 Ruud Vormer M
26 Mats Rits M
2 Eduard Sobol M
90 Charles De Ketelaere F
10 Noa Lang F
Bench (7)
22 Ethan Horvath
28 Ignace Van der Brempt
24 Stefano Denswil
15 Matej Mitrović
7 Tahith Chong
21 David Okereke
29 Bas Dost

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,33
U ✓
3,34
B
2,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.