Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lorient
|
25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | +21 | 51 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | +15 | 47 |
| 3 |
Ajaccio
|
25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +13 | 45 |
| 4 |
Clermont
|
25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | +8 | 44 |
| 5 |
Troyes
|
25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | +5 | 44 |
| 6 |
Le Havre
|
25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | +10 | 38 |
| 7 |
Guingamp
|
25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 |
Valenciennes
|
25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 38 |
| 9 |
Grenoble
|
25 | 7 | 14 | 4 | +3 | 35 |
| 10 |
Nancy
|
25 | 6 | 15 | 4 | +3 | 33 |
| 11 |
Sochaux
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +0 | 32 |
| 12 |
Auxerre
|
25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 31 |
| 13 |
Rodez
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 28 |
| 14 |
Caen
|
25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 15 | Chambly | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 28 |
| 16 |
Chateauroux
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 |
Paris FC
|
25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 |
Niort
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -10 | 22 |
| 19 |
Le Mans
|
25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 20 |
Orleans
|
25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -20 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Auxerre
Paris FC
Chateauroux
Caen
Grenoble
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.