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Ligue 2

Le Mans

T S S U U

1–2

Full-time

Chateauroux

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Chateauroux

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 24%

27%

20%

Points per game

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

60%

20%

Both score Ø 40%

53%

27%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,1

0,5

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

19 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 6

6 Corners 4

7 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Le Mans 19. · Chateauroux 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	15	9	4	2	+12	31
2	Lorient	15	9	3	3	+12	30
3	Ajaccio	15	7	6	2	+7	27
4	Troyes	15	8	2	5	+2	26
5	Sochaux	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Le Havre	15	5	7	3	+7	22
7	Clermont	15	6	4	5	+0	22
8	Grenoble	15	4	9	2	+2	21
9	Guingamp	15	5	5	5	+2	20
10	Nancy	15	3	11	1	+2	20
11	Valenciennes	15	5	5	5	-2	20
12	Rodez	15	5	3	7	-1	18
13	Auxerre	15	4	5	6	+1	17
14	Niort	15	4	5	6	-4	17
15	Caen	15	3	7	5	-4	16
16	Chambly	15	4	4	7	-6	16
17	Paris FC	15	4	3	8	-9	15
18	Chateauroux	15	3	5	7	-9	14
19	Le Mans	15	4	2	9	-10	14
20	Orleans	15	1	6	8	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Lens	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Nancy	8	3	5	0	+5	14
4	Lorient	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Rodez	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Ajaccio	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Guingamp	8	3	3	2	+5	12
8	Troyes	8	4	0	4	-2	12
9	Auxerre	7	3	2	2	+4	11
10	Le Havre	7	2	4	1	+5	10
11	Le Mans	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Niort	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Valenciennes	7	2	3	2	-1	9
14	Grenoble	7	1	5	1	+0	8
15	Caen	8	1	4	3	-5	7
16	Paris FC	7	2	1	4	-5	7
17	Clermont	7	1	3	3	-1	6
18	Chambly	8	1	3	4	-8	6
19	Chateauroux	7	1	2	4	-4	5
20	Orleans	8	0	2	6	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	8	5	2	1	+6	17
2	Clermont	8	5	1	2	+1	16
3	Lens	8	4	3	1	+5	15
4	Ajaccio	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Troyes	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Grenoble	8	3	4	1	+2	13
7	Le Havre	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Valenciennes	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Chambly	7	3	1	3	+2	10
10	Caen	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Chateauroux	8	2	3	3	-5	9
12	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Niort	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Sochaux	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Paris FC	8	2	2	4	-4	8
16	Orleans	7	1	4	2	-1	7
17	Auxerre	8	1	3	4	-3	6
18	Nancy	7	0	6	1	-3	6
19	Rodez	8	1	2	5	-6	5
20	Le Mans	7	1	1	5	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.