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Primeira Liga
Referee: Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca
Estoril
T T U U T
1–1
Full-time
Famalicao
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Famalicao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,06 xG 1,47
50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Apr -26 Estoril – Famalicao 0–1 14. Dec -25 Famalicao – Estoril 4–0 22. Nov -25 Estoril – Famalicao 1–2 12. Apr -25 Famalicao – Estoril 3–0 1. Dec -24 Estoril – Famalicao 2–1

Match report

Estoril Famalicao
32′
⚽ G. Koutsias 0–1
Gil Dias
Half-time 0–1
Ricard Sánchez 🟨
53′
F. Garcia 🔁
↦ A. Lacximicant
66′
P. Carvalho 🔁
↦ R. Sanchez
66′
66′
🔁 T. Szucs
↦ P. Santos
1–1 Y. Begraoui ⚽
P. Carvalho
72′
76′
🟨 Rodrigo Pinheiro
77′
🔁 O. Aranda
↦ Gil Dias
77′
🔁 R. Beney
↦ Sorriso
Jandro 🔁
↦ Xeka
83′
83′
🔁 U. Abubakar
↦ G. Koutsias
T. Brito 🔁
↦ A. Tsoungui
87′
93′
🟨 Romeo Beney
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Estoril

4-2-3-1
1 J. Robles G
2 R. Sanchez D
4 Ferro D
15 I. Sierra D
3 F. Medrano D
8 Xeka M
5 A. Tsoungui M
99 R. Guitane M
12 J. Carvalho M
7 A. Lacximicant M
14 Y. Begraoui F
Bench (11)
16 M. Turk
23 D. Dias
18 G. Costa
6 Jandro
90 T. Brito
19 T. Parente
80 L. Gomes
98 F. Garcia
22 P. Carvalho
17 Peixinho
42 J. Arnolin

Coach: Vasco Matos

Famalicao

4-2-3-1
25 L. Carevic G
17 R. Pinheiro D
3 L. Realpe D
4 F. van Breemen D
28 Pedro Bondo D
6 T. Van de Looi M
14 M. De Amorim M
23 Gil Dias M
10 P. Santos M
7 Sorriso M
70 G. Koutsias F
Bench (12)
1 I. Zlobin
19 P. Moreira
11 O. Aranda
8 M. Pena
91 R. Almeida
2 Garcia
5 L. Meyer
21 T. Szucs
30 V. Serafimovic
18 R. Beney
9 U. Abubakar
36 M. Mattara

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,85
🔒
U ✓
3,28
🔒
B
2,38
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,91
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,82
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.