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Primeira Liga
Referee: A Rodrigues
Estoril
T S T U S
1–1
Full-time
Estrela
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Estrela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,67 xG 1,37
65% Possession 35%
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. May -25 Estoril – Estrela 4–0 5. Jan -25 Estrela – Estoril 2–4 4. Feb -24 Estoril – Estrela 1–0 25. Aug -23 Estrela – Estoril 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,89
🔒
U ✓
3,49
🔒
B
3,83
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,00
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,73
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.