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Primeira Liga
Referee: A Nobre
Porto
S T S S S
3–0
Full-time
Guimaraes
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,68 xG 0,54
50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Feb -25 Porto – Guimaraes 1–1 21. Sep -24 Guimaraes – Porto 0–3 17. Apr -24 Porto – Guimaraes 3–1 7. Apr -24 Porto – Guimaraes 1–2 3. Apr -24 Guimaraes – Porto 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
🔒
U
3,93
🔒
B
5,41
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,79
🔒
U2,5
1,93
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Nobre · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.