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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Godinho
Gil Vicente
T S T T S
2–0
Full-time
Nacional
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Nacional
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 24%
26%
22%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
39%
48%
Both score Ø 53%
48%
57%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Gil Vicente 13. · Nacional 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 23 19 4 0 +34 61
2 Porto 23 15 6 2 +27 51
3 Sp Braga 23 16 2 5 +21 50
4 Benfica 23 14 6 3 +23 48
5 Pacos Ferreira 23 12 5 6 +7 41
6 Guimaraes 23 10 5 8 +0 35
7 Santa Clara 23 9 4 10 +1 31
8 Moreirense 23 7 9 7 -4 30
9 Rio Ave 23 6 8 9 -7 26
10 Belenenses 23 5 10 8 -7 25
11 Tondela 23 7 3 13 -16 24
12 Portimonense 23 6 5 12 -7 23
13 Gil Vicente 23 6 4 13 -11 22
14 Nacional 23 5 6 12 -10 21
15 Boavista 23 4 9 10 -12 21
16 Maritimo 23 6 3 14 -12 21
17 Famalicao 23 4 8 11 -17 20
18 Farense 23 4 7 12 -10 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Nov -20 Nacional – Gil Vicente 2–1

Match report

Gil Vicente Nacional
28′
🟨 Francisco Ramos
36′
🔁 Rúben Freitas
↦ João Vigário
37′
🟨 Bryan Rochez
João Afonso 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Marques
Lourency
55′
60′
🔁 B. Riascos
↦ Chico Ramos
60′
🔁 João Camacho
↦ K. Gorré
Ygor Nogueira 🟨
61′
Samuel Lino 🔁
↦ Marques
66′
2–0 Samuel Lino
Lucas Mineiro
71′
75′
🔁 Rúben Micael
↦ Nuno Borges
75′
🔁 Éber Bessa
↦ V. Koziello
A. Léautey 🔁
↦ K. Fujimoto
76′
83′
🟥 Júlio César
João Afonso 🟨
86′
João Afonso 🟥
86′
90′
🟨 Brayan Riascos
Rodrigão 🔁
↦ Lourency
90′
Pedrinho 🔁
↦ Lucas Mineiro
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
1 Denis G
26 Rúben Fernandes D
31 Talocha D
44 Ygor Nogueira D
2 Joel Pereira D
6 João Afonso M
8 Claude Gonçalves M
25 Lucas Mineiro M
20 K. Fujimoto F
7 Lourency F
43 Marques F
Bench (9)
29 Samuel Lino
11 A. Léautey
5 Rodrigão
19 Pedrinho
22 Y. Baraye
24 Q. Beunardeau
55 Henrique Gomes
77 Paulinho
21 Vitor Carvalho

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Nacional

4-4-2
1 R. Piscitelli G
44 Júlio César D
17 João Vigário D
22 Kalindi D
4 Pedrão D
88 Chico Ramos F
11 K. Gorré M
10 V. Koziello M
45 V. Thill M
35 B. Róchez F
55 Nuno Borges
Bench (9)
27 Rúben Freitas
94 B. Riascos
7 João Camacho
14 Rúben Micael
20 Éber Bessa
8 V. Danilović
30 S. Sy
9 Marco Matias
3 Lucas Kal

Coach: Vítor Vinha

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
U
3,15
B
3,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.