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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Costa

Sp Braga

T S T S S

2–1

Full-time

Portimonense

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 47%

69%

25%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 41%

38%

44%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 21

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 4. · Portimonense 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	16	13	3	0	+25	42
2	Porto	17	12	3	2	+22	39
3	Benfica	16	10	3	3	+14	33
4	Sp Braga	16	11	0	5	+13	33
5	Pacos Ferreira	16	9	4	3	+11	31
6	Guimaraes	15	9	2	4	+7	29
7	Santa Clara	17	6	4	7	-2	22
8	Moreirense	16	4	6	6	-8	18
9	Tondela	16	5	3	8	-10	18
10	Maritimo	16	5	2	9	-6	17
11	Nacional	16	4	5	7	-6	17
12	Belenenses	17	3	7	7	-6	16
13	Portimonense	16	4	3	9	-8	15
14	Rio Ave	16	3	6	7	-9	15
15	Famalicao	16	3	5	8	-11	14
16	Boavista	16	2	8	6	-11	14
17	Farense	16	3	4	9	-7	13
18	Gil Vicente	16	3	4	9	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	9	7	1	1	+12	22
2	Sp Lisbon	8	6	2	0	+11	20
3	Benfica	8	6	1	1	+8	19
4	Sp Braga	7	6	0	1	+7	18
5	Tondela	9	5	2	2	+2	17
6	Pacos Ferreira	7	5	1	1	+6	16
7	Moreirense	9	3	4	2	-1	13
8	Farense	9	3	3	3	+2	12
9	Nacional	9	3	3	3	-1	12
10	Guimaraes	8	4	0	4	-2	12
11	Portimonense	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Belenenses	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Rio Ave	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Gil Vicente	8	2	2	4	-2	8
15	Santa Clara	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Famalicao	8	1	3	4	-8	6
18	Boavista	7	1	2	4	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Porto	8	5	2	1	+10	17
3	Guimaraes	7	5	2	0	+9	17
4	Sp Braga	9	5	0	4	+6	15
5	Pacos Ferreira	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Benfica	8	4	2	2	+6	14
7	Santa Clara	9	4	2	3	+1	14
8	Boavista	9	1	6	2	-3	9
9	Maritimo	9	3	0	6	-3	9
10	Famalicao	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Rio Ave	9	1	4	4	-8	7
12	Belenenses	8	1	3	4	-5	6
13	Nacional	7	1	2	4	-5	5
14	Gil Vicente	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Moreirense	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	Portimonense	8	1	1	6	-8	4
17	Farense	7	0	1	6	-9	1
18	Tondela	7	0	1	6	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.