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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Veríssimo
Sp Braga
U S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Portimonense
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,2
Scored
2,0
0,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
56%
8%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
52%
32%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,6
0,6
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Braga 3. · Portimonense 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 25 21 2 2 +42 65
2 Benfica 24 20 1 3 +39 61
3 Sp Braga 25 14 4 7 +14 46
4 Sp Lisbon 24 13 3 8 +11 42
5 Rio Ave 24 11 7 6 +10 40
6 Famalicao 24 11 6 7 +1 39
7 Guimaraes 24 9 8 7 +14 35
8 Gil Vicente 25 8 9 8 -3 33
9 Santa Clara 24 8 6 10 -7 30
10 Moreirense 25 6 11 8 +0 29
11 Boavista 24 7 7 10 -5 28
12 Setubal 23 6 9 8 -10 27
13 Vitoria Setubal 23 6 9 8 -10 27
14 Maritimo 24 5 10 9 -8 25
15 Tondela 25 6 7 12 -13 25
16 Belenenses 24 7 4 13 -20 25
17 Pacos Ferreira 24 6 4 14 -16 22
18 Portimonense 25 2 12 11 -16 18
19 Aves 24 4 1 19 -23 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Braga Portimonense
20′
🟨 William Rocha
28′
🟨 Bruno Costa
1–0 Trincão
Paulinho
31′
44′
🟨 Pedro Sá
2–0 Raúl Silva
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Aylton Boa Morte
↦ Lucas Fernandes
3–0 Ricardo Horta
Trincão
47′
62′
🔁 Junior Tavares
↦ Henrique
67′
🔁 Ricardo Vaz Té
↦ Mohanad Ali
Galeno 🔁
↦ Trincão
72′
André Horta 🔁
↦ João Palhinha
80′
Rui Fonte 🔁
↦ Paulinho
87′
94′
Aylton Boa Morte 3–1
Bruno Tabata
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sp Braga

3-4-3
1 Matheus Magalhães G
34 Raúl Silva D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
36 Bruno Viana D
81 Pedro Amador M
92 David Carmo D
27 Fransérgio M
60 João Palhinha M
20 Paulinho F
21 Ricardo Horta F
77 Trincão F
Bench (7)
90 Galeno
15 André Horta
18 Rui Fonte
17 João Novais
4 Bruno Wilson
9 Abel Ruiz
12 Tiago Sá

Coach: Micael Sequeira

Portimonense

4-4-2
16 S. Gonda G
19 Henrique D
3 Lucas Possignolo D
4 Jadson D
6 E. Hackman D
28 Willyan M
21 Pedro Sá M
88 Bruno Costa M
29 Lucas Fernandes F
10 Bruno Tabata M
13 Mohanad Ali
Bench (7)
77 Aylton Boa Morte
23 Junior Tavares
12 Ricardo Vaz Té
1 Ricardo Ferreira
7 Dener
92 Rodrigo
22 K. Anzai

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
U
4,90
B
8,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fábio Veríssimo · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.