Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Clermont
Le Havre
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lorient
|
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +17 | 36 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +13 | 34 |
| 3 |
Ajaccio
|
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +10 | 33 |
| 4 |
Troyes
|
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 32 |
| 5 |
Le Havre
|
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 |
Sochaux
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +6 | 26 |
| 7 |
Clermont
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +1 | 26 |
| 8 |
Guingamp
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +5 | 24 |
| 9 |
Valenciennes
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +0 | 24 |
| 10 |
Nancy
|
17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | +3 | 23 |
| 11 |
Grenoble
|
17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | +1 | 22 |
| 12 |
Caen
|
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Auxerre
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 19 |
| 14 |
Rodez
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 |
Chateauroux
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -8 | 18 |
| 16 |
Niort
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 17 |
| 17 | Chambly | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 16 |
| 18 |
Paris FC
|
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -14 | 15 |
| 19 |
Le Mans
|
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -13 | 14 |
| 20 |
Orleans
|
17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Grenoble
Clermont
Clermont
Niort
Ajaccio
Clermont
Clermont
Clermont
Le Mans
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.