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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Strasbourg
S U S U U
2–1
Full-time
Rennes
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,3
4,5
Scored
0,8
3,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 49%
44%
53%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
53%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Strasbourg 6. · Rennes 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 32 23 5 4 +42 74
2 Marseille 32 17 8 7 +21 59
3 Rennes 32 17 5 10 +35 56
4 Monaco 33 16 8 9 +17 56
5 Nice 33 16 7 10 +13 55
6 Strasbourg 32 14 11 7 +19 53
7 Lyon 32 13 11 8 +9 50
8 Lens 32 14 8 10 +9 50
9 Lille 33 12 12 9 +1 48
10 Nantes 32 13 8 11 +6 47
11 Montpellier 32 12 6 14 +0 42
12 Reims 33 9 13 11 +0 40
13 Brest 32 10 9 13 -7 39
14 Angers 32 8 10 14 -10 34
15 Lorient 33 8 10 15 -19 34
16 Troyes 33 8 9 16 -16 33
17 Clermont 33 8 8 17 -28 32
18 St Etienne 33 7 10 16 -27 31
19 Bordeaux 33 5 12 16 -35 27
20 Metz 33 4 12 17 -30 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Rennes
1–0 H. Diallo
J. Bellegarde
4′
Half-time 1–0
A. Caci 🔁
↦ D. Liénard
46′
54′
M. Terrier 1–1
H. Traoré
65′
🟨 Jonas Martin
K. Gameiro 🔁
↦ H. Diallo
67′
S. Prcić 🔁
↦ A. Thomasson
67′
74′
🔁 S. Guirassy
↦ G. Laborde
74′
🔁 L. Majer
↦ F. Tait
2–1 L. Ajorque
K. Gameiro
77′
J. Aholou 🔁
↦ I. Sissoko
78′
84′
🔁 L. Tchaouna
↦ M. Terrier
Anthony Caci 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 M. Tel
↦ B. Santamaría
90′
🟨 Nayef Aguerd
K. Fila 🔁
↦ F. Guilbert
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Strasbourg

3-5-2
1 M. Sels G
2 F. Guilbert M
24 A. Djiku D
22 G. Nyamsi D
5 L. Perrin D
11 D. Liénard M
10 A. Thomasson M
27 I. Sissoko M
17 J. Bellegarde M
25 L. Ajorque F
20 H. Diallo F
Bench (9)
19 A. Caci
9 K. Gameiro
14 S. Prcić
6 J. Aholou
4 K. Fila
35 H. Diarra
16 E. Kawashima
23 M. Le Marchand
15 M. Sahi

Coach: J. Stéphan

Rennes

4-2-3-1
40 D. Alemdar G
27 H. Traoré D
6 N. Aguerd D
23 W. Omari D
3 A. Truffert D
28 J. Martin M
20 F. Tait M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
8 B. Santamaría M
24 G. Laborde F
7 M. Terrier M
Bench (9)
9 S. Guirassy
21 L. Majer
17 L. Tchaouna
39 M. Tel
26 L. Ugochukwu
4 L. Badé
1 R. Salin
25 B. Meling
22 L. Assignon

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,59
U
3,41
B
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.