← Match Finder
Serie A
Referee: M Fabbri
Napoli
S U U T S
2–1
Full-time
Torino
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Napoli Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 45%
59%
30%
Points per game
2,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
56%
59%
Both score Ø 47%
52%
41%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,04 xG 0,67
64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 3. · Torino 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 27 22 1 4 +43 +34.4 67
2 Milan 27 16 9 2 +23 +16.8 57
3 Napoli 27 16 5 6 +13 +8.7 53
4 Roma 27 16 3 8 +18 +10.6 51
5 Como 27 13 9 5 +24 +19.7 48
6 Juventus 27 13 8 6 +18 +22.6 47
7 Atalanta 27 12 9 6 +13 +10.9 45
8 Bologna 27 11 6 10 +4 +0.5 39
9 Sassuolo 27 11 5 11 -2 -9.3 38
10 Udinese 27 10 5 12 -8 -6.5 35
11 Lazio 27 8 10 9 -1 -7.9 34
12 Parma 27 8 9 10 -12 -14.6 33
13 Cagliari 27 7 9 11 -7 -13.5 30
14 Torino 27 8 6 13 -20 -10.3 30
15 Genoa 27 6 9 12 -7 -2.1 27
16 Fiorentina 27 5 9 13 -12 +4.4 24
17 Cremonese 27 5 9 13 -17 -18.8 24
18 Lecce 27 6 6 15 -18 -20.4 24
19 Pisa 27 1 12 14 -24 -15.5 15
20 Verona 27 2 9 16 -28 -9.5 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,56
U
3,75
B
6,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Fabbri · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.